Updated

Zambia Super League · Matchday 3

Makeni All Stars vs Zanaco

Alin prediction Makeni All Stars to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

20% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Makeni All StarsDrawZanaco

Makeni All Stars vs Zanaco preview

In the Zambia Super League match between Makeni All Stars and Zanaco, the 1X2 probabilities show Makeni All Stars at 50%, a draw at 34%, and Zanaco at 16%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 20% chance according to our model.

Makeni All Stars have an expected goals figure of 1.15, while Zanaco's is significantly lower at 0.54. However, the lower probabilities for Over 2.5 goals at 24% and both teams to score at 30% suggest that scoring may be limited. A surprise result could occur if Zanaco improves their form, as they have recently recorded two wins in their last six matches.

Makeni All Stars vs Zanaco: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceMakeni All StarsDrawZanaco
Model50%34%16%
Market———
Published50%34%16%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.15 vs 0.54.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Makeni All Stars and Zanaco expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.15Makeni All Stars
0.54Zanaco
Total expected goals
1.69
Attack rating (Makeni All Stars / Zanaco)
0.83 / 0.91
Defence rating (Makeni All Stars / Zanaco)
0.83 / 1.31

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Makeni All Stars vs Zanaco score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 19.7% 8.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 1 20.1% 12.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 2 12.1% 6.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 3 4.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 4+ 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Makeni All Stars goals. Columns: Zanaco goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Makeni All Stars vs Zanaco goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 80%
Over 1.5 51%
Over 2.5 24%
Over 3.5 9%
Both teams to score
30%
No goals (0–0)
20%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Makeni All Stars vs Zanaco

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Makeni All Stars50%2.02
Draw34%2.92
Zanaco16%6.14
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.524%4.18
Under 2.576%1.31
Both teams to scoreYes30%3.37
No70%1.42
Double chance1X (Makeni All Stars or draw)84%1.19
12 (either side)66%1.52
X2 (draw or Zanaco)50%1.98
Handicap -1Makeni All Stars win by 2+22%4.51
Push (exactly one goal)27%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
# Betting site Welcome offer Why it is here Visit
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Makeni All Stars and Zanaco recent form

Makeni All Stars 0W 1D 0L
Zanaco 2W 2D 2L

Last 1 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Makeni All Stars at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
1 of 1

Zanaco away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
1 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: Makeni All Stars at home only, Zanaco away only.

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Makeni All Stars to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Makeni All Stars