Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba preview
Aldosivi faces Belgrano Cordoba with a 26% chance of winning for Aldosivi compared to 44% for Belgrano Cordoba. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 10% probability. Aldosivi's expected goals stand at 1.15, while Belgrano Cordoba's is higher at 1.41.
Both teams to score has a 53% likelihood, and Over 2.5 goals is at 47%. Aldosivi's recent form shows 2 wins and 3 losses, while Belgrano Cordoba has 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. The head-to-head record shows Aldosivi has not won in the last 3 matches against Belgrano Cordoba, with 0 wins and 1 draw.
Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba: model vs market
| Source | Aldosivi | Draw | Belgrano Cordoba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 29% | 42% |
| Market | 25% | 30% | 45% |
| Published | 26% | 30% | 44% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Belgrano Cordoba, 9 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aldosivi | 3.76 | 3.76 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.11 | 3.10 | -0.01 |
| Belgrano Cordoba | 2.06 | 2.05 | -0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Aldosivi and Belgrano Cordoba expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.55
- Attack rating (Aldosivi / Belgrano Cordoba)
- 1.07 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Aldosivi / Belgrano Cordoba)
- 1.55 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Aldosivi goals. Columns: Belgrano Cordoba goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aldosivi | 26% | 3.86 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.36 | |
| Belgrano Cordoba | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.13 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| No | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Aldosivi or draw) | 56% | 1.80 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Belgrano Cordoba) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Handicap -1 | Belgrano Cordoba win by 2+ | 20% | 4.89 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Aldosivi and Belgrano Cordoba recent form
Aldosivi
2W 0D 4L
Belgrano Cordoba
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Aldosivi at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-8-4
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.71
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 14
- They have won 2 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 28 matches.
Belgrano Cordoba away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-7-2
- Win rate
- 47%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.71
- Clean sheets
- 10 of 17
- They have won 17 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Aldosivi at home only, Belgrano Cordoba away only.
Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Aldosivi 0 · draws 1 · Belgrano Cordoba 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Belgrano Cordoba | 1-0 | Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-08-15 | Aldosivi | 0-0 | Belgrano Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-02-12 | Belgrano Cordoba | 2-0 | Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
- Banfield vs Lanus — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- San Lorenzo v Newells Old Boys — match page 2026-10-24
- Rosario Central vs Huracan 2026-10-25
- Independiente v Boca Juniors — match page 2026-10-25
- River Plate vs Racing Club — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Central Cordoba de Santiago v Velez Sarsfield — match page 2026-10-26
- Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Aldosivi, previous: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi prediction
- Belgrano Cordoba, previous: Belgrano Cordoba vs River Plate prediction