Rosario Central vs Huracan preview
In the Liga Profesional Argentina, Rosario Central has a 61% chance to win against Huracan, who has just a 14% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 14% probability. Rosario Central's expected goals stand at 1.73, compared to Huracan's 0.70, indicating a clear attacking advantage.
However, recent form shows Rosario Central with a mixed record of W-W-D-W-W-D, while Huracan has won 3 of their last 5 matches. This could lead to a tighter contest than expected, especially since Huracan has won both of their last two meetings against Rosario Central. The chances for Over 2.5 goals are at 44%, and both teams to score is at 42%, suggesting potential for more action.
Rosario Central vs Huracan: model vs market
| Source | Rosario Central | Draw | Huracan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61% | 25% | 14% |
| Market | 54% | 28% | 18% |
| Published | 56% | 28% | 17% |
| Edge | +2% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.70.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.76, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Rosario Central vs Huracan odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Rosario Central, 9 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rosario Central | 1.60 | 1.73 | +0.13 |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.30 | -0.20 |
| Huracan | 6.28 | 5.30 | -0.98 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Rosario Central and Huracan expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.42
- Attack rating (Rosario Central / Huracan)
- 1.48 / 0.90
- Defence rating (Rosario Central / Huracan)
- 0.86 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Rosario Central vs Huracan score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Rosario Central goals. Columns: Huracan goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Rosario Central vs Huracan goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Rosario Central vs Huracan
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rosario Central | 56% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.62 | |
| Huracan | 17% | 6.01 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44% | 2.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 1.77 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.36 |
| No | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Rosario Central or draw) | 83% | 1.20 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Huracan) | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Handicap -1 | Rosario Central win by 2+ | 35% | 2.82 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Rosario Central and Huracan recent form
Rosario Central
4W 2D 0L
Huracan
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Rosario Central at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-4-3
- Win rate
- 56%
- Goals for / match
- 1.56
- Goals against / match
- 0.81
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 16
- They have won 16 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Huracan away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-7-5
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.94
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 16
- They have won 11 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Rosario Central at home only, Huracan away only.
Rosario Central vs Huracan head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Rosario Central 0 · draws 0 · Huracan 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Huracan | 3-1 | Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-05-18 | Rosario Central | 0-1 | Huracan | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
- Banfield vs Lanus — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- San Lorenzo v Newells Old Boys — match page 2026-10-24
- Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Independiente v Boca Juniors — match page 2026-10-25
- River Plate vs Racing Club — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Central Cordoba de Santiago v Velez Sarsfield — match page 2026-10-26
- Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Rosario Central, previous: Atletico Tucuman v Rosario Central analysis
- Huracan, previous: Huracan v Gimnasia L.P. analysis