Banfield vs Lanus preview
In the fixture between Banfield and Lanus, the 1X2 probabilities show Banfield at 27%, a draw at 31%, and Lanus at 42%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 13% chance according to our model. Lanus has been in strong recent form, winning 6 of their last 6 matches, while Banfield has struggled, with only 1 win in their last 6 games.
The expected goals are 0.91 for Banfield and 1.37 for Lanus, suggesting a low-scoring match. The chances for Over 2.5 goals stand at 40%, and both teams to score is at 46%. If Banfield can improve their form and score more effectively, it could challenge the expected outcomes.
Banfield vs Lanus: model vs market
| Source | Banfield | Draw | Lanus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24% | 30% | 46% |
| Market | 26% | 30% | 44% |
| Published | 26% | 30% | 44% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.19, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Banfield vs Lanus odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Lanus, 19 snapshots since 2026-10-14.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Banfield | 3.17 | 3.57 | +0.40 |
| Draw | 2.91 | 3.13 | +0.22 |
| Lanus | 2.45 | 2.14 | -0.31 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Banfield and Lanus expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.28
- Attack rating (Banfield / Lanus)
- 1.09 / 1.17
- Defence rating (Banfield / Lanus)
- 1.31 / 0.73
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Banfield vs Lanus score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Banfield goals. Columns: Lanus goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Banfield vs Lanus goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Banfield vs Lanus
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Banfield | 26% | 3.90 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Lanus | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40% | 2.51 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.18 |
| No | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Banfield or draw) | 56% | 1.80 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Lanus) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| Handicap -1 | Lanus win by 2+ | 23% | 4.41 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Banfield and Lanus recent form
Banfield
1W 4D 1L
Lanus
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Banfield at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-5
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.21
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Lanus away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-6
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.13
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 15
- They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Banfield at home only, Lanus away only.
Banfield vs Lanus head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Banfield 1 · draws 1 · Lanus 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Lanus | 1-0 | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-11-04 | Banfield | 2-1 | Lanus | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-04-19 | Lanus | 1-1 | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
- Gimnasia L.P. v Sarmiento Junin — match page 2026-10-23
- Gimnasia M. vs Platense — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman 2026-10-24
- Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- San Lorenzo v Newells Old Boys — match page 2026-10-24
- Rosario Central vs Huracan 2026-10-25
- Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Independiente v Boca Juniors — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Banfield, previous: Banfield vs Argentinos JRS: odds and pick
- Lanus, previous: Platense vs Lanus: odds and pick