Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia preview
In the Liga Profesional match on 2026-10-24, Talleres Cordoba has a 38% chance to win, while Defensa Y Justicia stands at 33%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 7% probability. Talleres Cordoba's recent form shows 1 win in their last 6 matches, while Defensa Y Justicia has won 3 of their last 6.
The model predicts 43% for Over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score. Talleres Cordoba has expected goals of 0.88, compared to Defensa Y Justicia’s 1.53. This discrepancy could lead to a different outcome than anticipated, especially if Talleres Cordoba improves their scoring efficiency or if Defensa Y Justicia underperforms.
Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia: model vs market
| Source | Talleres Cordoba | Draw | Defensa Y Justicia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20% | 28% | 51% |
| Market | 42% | 29% | 28% |
| Published | 37% | 29% | 34% |
| Edge | -6% | 0% | +6% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.27, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -16.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Talleres Cordoba, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-17.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Talleres Cordoba | 2.11 | 2.21 | +0.10 |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.21 | -0.04 |
| Defensa Y Justicia | 3.52 | 3.29 | -0.23 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Talleres Cordoba and Defensa Y Justicia expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.42
- Attack rating (Talleres Cordoba / Defensa Y Justicia)
- 0.82 / 1.27
- Defence rating (Talleres Cordoba / Defensa Y Justicia)
- 1.34 / 0.94
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Talleres Cordoba goals. Columns: Defensa Y Justicia goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Talleres Cordoba | 37% | 2.71 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.46 | |
| Defensa Y Justicia | 34% | 2.92 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.77 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| No | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Talleres Cordoba or draw) | 66% | 1.52 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Defensa Y Justicia) | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Handicap -1 | Talleres Cordoba win by 2+ | 7% | 14.16 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Talleres Cordoba and Defensa Y Justicia recent form
Talleres Cordoba
1W 1D 4L
Defensa Y Justicia
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Talleres Cordoba at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-6
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.93
- Goals against / match
- 1.07
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 15
- They have won 9 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 29 matches.
Defensa Y Justicia away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-5
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.36
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Talleres Cordoba at home only, Defensa Y Justicia away only.
Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Talleres Cordoba 1 · draws 0 · Defensa Y Justicia 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Defensa Y Justicia | 1-2 | Talleres Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
- Gimnasia L.P. v Sarmiento Junin — match page 2026-10-23
- Gimnasia M. vs Platense — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman 2026-10-24
- Banfield vs Lanus — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- San Lorenzo v Newells Old Boys — match page 2026-10-24
- Rosario Central vs Huracan 2026-10-25
- Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Independiente v Boca Juniors — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Talleres Cordoba, previous: Boca Juniors – Talleres Cordoba, 2026-10-17
- Defensa Y Justicia, previous: Defensa Y Justicia – Instituto Cordoba, 2026-10-16