Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia preview
In the fixture between Argentinos JRS and Independ. Rivadavia, the 1X2 probabilities show Argentinos JRS at 50% to win, while Independ. Rivadavia sits at 22%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0 in favor of Argentinos JRS, with an 11% chance. The expected goals are 1.87 for Argentinos JRS and 0.89 for Independ. Rivadavia.
However, recent form could influence the outcome. Argentinos JRS has a mixed record with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 6 matches. On the other hand, Independ. Rivadavia has 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their recent games. With both teams showing the potential to score, the chances for Over 2.5 goals stand at 52%, while both teams to score is at 51%.
Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia: model vs market
| Source | Argentinos JRS | Draw | Independ. Rivadavia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 24% | 16% |
| Market | 44% | 30% | 26% |
| Published | 48% | 28% | 24% |
| Edge | +4% | -1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 0.89.
- The market prices Argentinos JRS below our published probability: +3.8 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +4.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Argentinos JRS, 5 snapshots since 2026-10-21.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentinos JRS | 2.00 | 2.10 | +0.10 |
| Draw | 3.16 | 3.14 | -0.02 |
| Independ. Rivadavia | 3.90 | 3.60 | -0.30 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Argentinos JRS and Independ. Rivadavia expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.77
- Attack rating (Argentinos JRS / Independ. Rivadavia)
- 1.09 / 1.22
- Defence rating (Argentinos JRS / Independ. Rivadavia)
- 0.82 / 1.50
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Argentinos JRS goals. Columns: Independ. Rivadavia goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Argentinos JRS | 48% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 | |
| Independ. Rivadavia | 24% | 4.25 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.96 |
| No | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Argentinos JRS or draw) | 76% | 1.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Independ. Rivadavia) | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Handicap -1 | Argentinos JRS win by 2+ | 36% | 2.81 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Argentinos JRS and Independ. Rivadavia recent form
Argentinos JRS
2W 3D 1L
Independ. Rivadavia
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Argentinos JRS at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 12-5-0
- Win rate
- 71%
- Goals for / match
- 1.41
- Goals against / match
- 0.53
- Clean sheets
- 9 of 17
- They have won 16 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Independ. Rivadavia away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-5-4
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 0.93
- Goals against / match
- 1.21
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 14
- They have won 15 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Argentinos JRS at home only, Independ. Rivadavia away only.
Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Argentinos JRS 0 · draws 2 · Independ. Rivadavia 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Independ. Rivadavia | 3-1 | Argentinos JRS | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-11-06 | Independ. Rivadavia | 2-2 | Argentinos JRS | Copa Argentina |
| 2025-08-30 | Independ. Rivadavia | 2-1 | Argentinos JRS | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-02-24 | Argentinos JRS | 0-0 | Independ. Rivadavia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
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Before and after this match
- Argentinos JRS, previous: Banfield vs Argentinos JRS: odds and pick
- Independ. Rivadavia, previous: Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre prediction