Beerschot VA vs Anderlecht Prediction & Betting Tips 18/10/2026

Beerschot VA vs Anderlecht preview

In the Belgium Cup fixture between Beerschot VA and Anderlecht, the 1X2 probabilities show Beerschot VA at 45%, while Anderlecht is at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Beerschot VA, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score has a probability of 58%, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 54%.

Beerschot VA is in strong recent form, winning 6 consecutive matches, while Anderlecht has 5 wins and 1 loss in their last 6 games. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. This could affect the outcome if Anderlecht manages to improve their performance.

Beerschot VA vs Anderlecht: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Beerschot VA	Draw	Anderlecht
Model	45%	27%	28%
Market	—	—	—
Published	45%	27%	28%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.23.
Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Beerschot VA and Anderlecht expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.59Beerschot VA

1.23Anderlecht

Total expected goals: 2.83
Attack rating (Beerschot VA / Anderlecht): 1.41 / 0.91
Defence rating (Beerschot VA / Anderlecht): 0.84 / 0.57

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Beerschot VA vs Anderlecht score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.1% 6.1% 4.5% 1.9% 0.7% 1 8.3% 12.8% 7.2% 3.0% 1.2% 2 7.5% 9.3% 5.7% 2.4% 1.0% 3 4.0% 4.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.5% 4+ 2.3% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%

Rows: Beerschot VA goals. Columns: Anderlecht goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Beerschot VA vs Anderlecht goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%

Over 1.5 79%

Over 2.5 54%

Over 3.5 31%

Both teams to score: 58%
No goals (0–0): 7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Beerschot VA vs Anderlecht

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Beerschot VA	45%	2.24
	Draw	27%	3.70
	Anderlecht	28%	3.52
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	54%	1.86
	Under 2.5	46%	2.16
Both teams to score	Yes	58%	1.73
	No	42%	2.36
Double chance	1X (Beerschot VA or draw)	72%	1.40
	12 (either side)	73%	1.37
	X2 (draw or Anderlecht)	55%	1.80
Handicap -1	Beerschot VA win by 2+	23%	4.27
	Push (exactly one goal)	21%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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