Vasco DA Gama vs Remo: model vs market
| Source | Vasco DA Gama | Draw | Remo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 77% | 17% | 6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 77% | 17% | 6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.37 vs 0.57.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Vasco DA Gama and Remo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.94
- Attack rating (Vasco DA Gama / Remo)
- 1.30 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Vasco DA Gama / Remo)
- 0.65 / 1.20
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vasco DA Gama vs Remo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vasco DA Gama goals. Columns: Remo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vasco DA Gama vs Remo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vasco DA Gama vs Remo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vasco DA Gama | 77% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 17% | 6.01 | |
| Remo | 6% | 15.58 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.77 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.49 |
| No | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vasco DA Gama or draw) | 94% | 1.07 |
| 12 (either side) | 83% | 1.20 | |
| X2 (draw or Remo) | 23% | 4.34 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vasco DA Gama win by 2+ | 55% | 1.83 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Vasco DA Gama and Remo recent form
Vasco DA Gama
4W 1D 1L
Remo
0W 1D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vasco DA Gama at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-2-5
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Remo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-9
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 14
- They have won 5 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Vasco DA Gama at home only, Remo away only.
Vasco DA Gama vs Remo head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Vasco DA Gama 0 · draws 1 · Remo 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Remo | 1-1 | Vasco DA Gama | Brazil Serie A |
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