Updated

Brazil Serie A · Matchday 30

Vasco DA Gama vs Remo

· São Januário, Rio de Janeiro· Referee Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva

Full time0 – 0

Alin prediction was Vasco DA Gama to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 2 – 0

15% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Vasco DA GamaDrawRemo

Vasco DA Gama vs Remo: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceVasco DA GamaDrawRemo
Model76%17%7%
Market72%18%10%
Published73%18%9%
Edge+1%0%-1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 0.58.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Vasco DA Gama vs Remo odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Vasco DA Gama, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-10.

Opened 1.32Now 1.30 -0.02
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Vasco DA Gama1.321.30-0.02
Draw5.255.25+0.00
Remo9.509.50+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Vasco DA Gama and Remo expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.35Vasco DA Gama
0.58Remo
Total expected goals
2.92
Attack rating (Vasco DA Gama / Remo)
1.34 / 0.80
Defence rating (Vasco DA Gama / Remo)
0.68 / 1.14

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Vasco DA Gama vs Remo score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 1 11.9% 8.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 2 14.8% 8.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 3 11.6% 6.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 4+ 11.8% 6.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Rows: Vasco DA Gama goals. Columns: Remo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Vasco DA Gama vs Remo goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 56%
Over 3.5 34%
Both teams to score
40%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Vasco DA Gama vs Remo

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Vasco DA Gama73%1.36
Draw18%5.66
Remo9%11.02
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556%1.79
Under 2.544%2.27
Both teams to scoreYes40%2.48
No60%1.68
Double chance1X (Vasco DA Gama or draw)91%1.10
12 (either side)82%1.21
X2 (draw or Remo)27%3.74
Handicap -1Vasco DA Gama win by 2+54%1.86
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Vasco DA Gama and Remo recent form

Vasco DA Gama 4W 1D 1L
Remo 0W 1D 5L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Vasco DA Gama at home

Record (W-D-L)
7-2-5
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.29
Clean sheets
2 of 14
  • They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Remo away

Record (W-D-L)
2-3-9
Win rate
14%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 14
  • They have won 5 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Vasco DA Gama at home only, Remo away only.

Injuries & availability

Vasco DA Gama absences

  • Brenner knee injury
  • Bruno Duarte injury
  • C. Cuesta inactive
  • Mateus Carvalho knee injury

Remo absences

  • A. Galeano yellow cards
  • D. Tchamba inactive
  • Joao Lucas knee injury
  • Matheus Felipe inactive

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Vasco DA Gama lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Léo Jardim
  2. 6 Lucas Piton
  3. 30 Robert Renan
  4. 4 A. Saldivia
  5. 2 J. Rodríguez
  6. 23 Thiago Mendes
  7. 8 Jair
  8. 9 F. Colidio
  9. 22 A. Lescano
  10. 11 A. Gómez
  11. 7 David

Bench: Tchê Tchê, S. Sosa, Daniel Fuzato, Nuno Moreira, M. Hinestroza, Adson, Lucas Freitas, Gabriel Pereira, Cuiabano, C. Spinelli, Ramon Rique, Paulo Henrique

Remo lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 88 Marcelo Rangel
  2. 6 Marlon
  3. 27 Zé Ivaldo
  4. 13 Marllon
  5. 79 Marcelinho
  6. 8 Patrick
  7. 28 José Welison
  8. 19 Gabriel Taliari
  9. 55 Zé Ricardo
  10. 22 Yago Pikachu
  11. 39 Eduardo Melo

Bench: Matheus Alexandre, Jája Silva, Gabriel Poveda, Jáderson, L. Picco, Vitor Bueno, David Francisco, Mayk, Ygor Vinhas, Ivan

Vasco DA Gama vs Remo head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Vasco DA Gama 2 · draws 2 · Remo 1.

Vasco DA GamaDrawsRemo
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-11Remo1-1Vasco DA GamaBrazil Serie A
2021-11-19Vasco DA Gama2-2RemoSerie B
2021-08-14Remo2-1Vasco DA GamaSerie B
2016-04-28Vasco DA Gama2-1RemoCopa Do Brasil
2016-04-14Remo0-1Vasco DA GamaCopa Do Brasil

Other Matchday 30 fixtures

Before and after this match