Goias vs CRB: model vs market
| Source | Goias | Draw | CRB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 31% | 31% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 38% | 31% | 31% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Goias and CRB expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.32
- Attack rating (Goias / CRB)
- 0.88 / 1.26
- Defence rating (Goias / CRB)
- 0.89 / 1.07
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Goias vs CRB score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Goias goals. Columns: CRB goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Goias vs CRB goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Goias vs CRB
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Goias | 38% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.25 | |
| CRB | 31% | 3.23 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.45 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.07 |
| No | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Goias or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or CRB) | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Handicap -1 | Goias win by 2+ | 17% | 5.80 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Goias and CRB recent form
Goias
3W 1D 2L
CRB
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Goias at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-2-6
- Win rate
- 53%
- Goals for / match
- 0.94
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 17
- They have won 14 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CRB away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-7
- Win rate
- 35%
- Goals for / match
- 1.18
- Goals against / match
- 1.71
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 17
- They have won 15 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Goias at home only, CRB away only.
Goias vs CRB head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Goias 0 · draws 1 · CRB 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | CRB | 2-2 | Goias | Brazil Serie B |
| 2025-10-08 | Goias | 1-2 | CRB | Brazil Serie B |
| 2025-06-14 | CRB | 2-0 | Goias | Brazil Serie B |
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
- Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Vila Nova vs Juventude — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Nautico Recife vs Avai 2026-10-31
- Londrina vs America Mineiro 2026-11-01
- Cuiaba v São Bernardo — match page 2026-11-01
- Novorizontino vs Operario-PR 2026-11-01
- Fortaleza EC vs Atletico Goianiense — team news & stats 2026-11-02
- Athletic Club v Ceara — match page 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Goias, previous: Ceara – Goias, 2026-10-27
- CRB, previous: CRB – Londrina, 2026-10-24