Londrina vs America Mineiro preview
In the match between Londrina and America Mineiro, the 1X2 probabilities show Londrina at 57% to win, while America Mineiro sits at 15%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 16% chance. Londrina has an expected goals figure of 1.53 compared to America Mineiro's 0.66, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, recent form could affect the outcome. Londrina has lost 4 of their last 6 matches, while America Mineiro has lost 5 of their last 6. Both teams to score is at 39%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 37%, suggesting a low-scoring match may be more likely. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Londrina vs America Mineiro: model vs market
| Source | Londrina | Draw | America Mineiro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 30% | 17% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 53% | 30% | 17% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.69.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Londrina and America Mineiro expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.11
- Attack rating (Londrina / America Mineiro)
- 1.04 / 0.61
- Defence rating (Londrina / America Mineiro)
- 1.18 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Londrina vs America Mineiro score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Londrina goals. Columns: America Mineiro goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Londrina vs America Mineiro goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 39%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Londrina vs America Mineiro
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Londrina | 53% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.37 | |
| America Mineiro | 17% | 5.85 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35% | 2.84 |
| Under 2.5 | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39% | 2.56 |
| No | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Londrina or draw) | 83% | 1.21 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or America Mineiro) | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Handicap -1 | Londrina win by 2+ | 27% | 3.66 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Londrina and America Mineiro recent form
Londrina
1W 1D 4L
America Mineiro
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Londrina at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-5-7
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.41
- Goals against / match
- 1.18
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 17
- They have won 8 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
America Mineiro away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-14
- Win rate
- 6%
- Goals for / match
- 0.53
- Goals against / match
- 1.88
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 17
- They have won 5 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 34 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Londrina at home only, America Mineiro away only.
Londrina vs America Mineiro head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Londrina 0 · draws 1 · America Mineiro 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | America Mineiro | 1-1 | Londrina | Brazil Serie B |
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
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- Cuiaba v São Bernardo — match page 2026-11-01
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- Fortaleza EC vs Atletico Goianiense — team news & stats 2026-11-02
- Athletic Club v Ceara — match page 2026-11-02
- Goias v CRB — match page 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Londrina, previous: CRB – Londrina, 2026-10-24
- America Mineiro, previous: America Mineiro vs Cuiaba prediction