Operario-PR vs Sport Recife preview
Operario-PR faces Sport Recife with a 34% chance of winning compared to Sport Recife's 38%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which suggests a competitive match. The expected goals are close, with Operario-PR at 1.37 and Sport Recife at 1.31.
Both teams to score stands at 56%, indicating a strong possibility for goals from both sides. However, Operario-PR's recent form shows 5 losses in their last 6 matches, which could impact their performance negatively. Sport Recife, on the other hand, has a better recent record with 4 wins in their last 6 games.
Operario-PR vs Sport Recife: model vs market
| Source | Operario-PR | Draw | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | 32% | 28% | 39% |
| Published | 34% | 28% | 38% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.38, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Operario-PR vs Sport Recife odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sport Recife, 7 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operario-PR | 2.38 | 2.88 | +0.50 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.30 | +0.00 |
| Sport Recife | 2.90 | 2.36 | -0.54 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Operario-PR and Sport Recife expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.68
- Attack rating (Operario-PR / Sport Recife)
- 0.94 / 1.16
- Defence rating (Operario-PR / Sport Recife)
- 1.17 / 1.12
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Operario-PR vs Sport Recife score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Operario-PR goals. Columns: Sport Recife goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Operario-PR vs Sport Recife goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Operario-PR vs Sport Recife
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Operario-PR | 34% | 2.98 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 | |
| Sport Recife | 38% | 2.62 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.79 |
| No | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Operario-PR or draw) | 62% | 1.62 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Sport Recife) | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sport Recife win by 2+ | 16% | 6.37 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Operario-PR and Sport Recife recent form
Operario-PR
1W 0D 5L
Sport Recife
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Operario-PR at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-5-5
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.22
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 18
- They have won 14 of their 36 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 36 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 36 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sport Recife away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-6-7
- Win rate
- 28%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.11
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 18
- They have won 14 of their 36 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 36 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 36 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 9 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Operario-PR at home only, Sport Recife away only.
Operario-PR vs Sport Recife head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Operario-PR 3 · draws 2 · Sport Recife 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Sport Recife | 2-2 | Operario-PR | Brazil Serie B |
| 2024-11-04 | Operario-PR | 2-1 | Sport Recife | Serie B |
| 2024-10-17 | Sport Recife | 1-2 | Operario-PR | Serie B |
| 2022-10-28 | Sport Recife | 5-1 | Operario-PR | Serie B |
| 2022-07-14 | Operario-PR | 0-0 | Sport Recife | Serie B |
| 2019-09-28 | Sport Recife | 3-1 | Operario-PR | Serie B |
| 2019-05-28 | Operario-PR | 2-1 | Sport Recife | Serie B |
Other Matchday 37 fixtures
- Botafogo SP vs Londrina 2026-11-05
- Avai v São Bernardo — match page 2026-11-07
- Novorizontino v Fortaleza EC — match page 2026-11-07
- Vila Nova vs Criciuma 2026-11-07
- Cuiaba v Juventude — match page 2026-11-07
- Nautico Recife vs CRB 2026-11-08
- Athletic Club vs Atletico Goianiense — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Ceara vs America Mineiro — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Operario-PR, previous: Novorizontino – Operario-PR, 2026-11-01
- Sport Recife, previous: Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife prediction