Charlton vs Norwich preview
In the upcoming match between Charlton and Norwich, the 1X2 probabilities show Charlton at 39% to win, while Norwich stands at 35%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Charlton, with a 9% chance. Both teams have struggled recently, with Charlton recording L-D-D-L-D-D and Norwich on a six-match losing streak, L-L-L-L-L-L.
The model suggests a 60% likelihood for Over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance for both teams to score. However, the result could differ if Norwich breaks their losing streak or if Charlton fails to capitalize on home advantage. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Charlton vs Norwich: model vs market
| Source | Charlton | Draw | Norwich |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 26% | 35% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 39% | 26% | 35% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Charlton and Norwich expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.11
- Attack rating (Charlton / Norwich)
- 0.79 / 1.04
- Defence rating (Charlton / Norwich)
- 1.20 / 1.42
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Charlton vs Norwich score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Charlton goals. Columns: Norwich goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Charlton vs Norwich goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Charlton vs Norwich
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charlton | 39% | 2.56 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.86 | |
| Norwich | 35% | 2.85 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.51 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.58 |
| No | 37% | 2.73 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Charlton or draw) | 65% | 1.54 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Norwich) | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Handicap -1 | Charlton win by 2+ | 20% | 4.99 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Charlton and Norwich recent form
Charlton
0W 4D 2L
Norwich
0W 0D 6L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Charlton at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-0
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 0.40
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Norwich away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Charlton at home only, Norwich away only.
Charlton vs Norwich head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Charlton 0 · draws 0 · Norwich 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Charlton | 0-1 | Norwich | England Championship |
| 2025-12-26 | Norwich | 1-0 | Charlton | England Championship |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Sheffield Utd v Derby — match page 2026-10-24
- Portsmouth vs Millwall 2026-10-24
- Wolverhampton Wanderers v Watford — match page 2026-10-24
- Cardiff vs Birmingham — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- West Ham vs Southampton 2026-10-24
- Preston v West Brom — match page 2026-10-24
- Blackburn vs Wrexham — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- QPR vs Swansea 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Charlton, previous: Watford v Charlton analysis
- Norwich, previous: Norwich v Portsmouth analysis