Preston vs West Brom preview
In the upcoming match between Preston and West Brom, the 1X2 probabilities show Preston at 16%, draw at 22%, and West Brom at 62%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-2, which has an 11% chance of occurring.
Preston's recent form is concerning, with 6 matches resulting in 5 losses and 1 draw. In contrast, West Brom has shown better form, winning 4 of their last 6 games. The expected goals for Preston are 0.94, while West Brom has a higher expectation at 2.05. Factors that could challenge the prediction include Preston's home advantage or unexpected performances from either side.
Preston vs West Brom: model vs market
| Source | Preston | Draw | West Brom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16% | 22% | 62% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 16% | 22% | 62% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Preston and West Brom expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.99
- Attack rating (Preston / West Brom)
- 0.71 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Preston / West Brom)
- 1.59 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Preston vs West Brom score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Preston goals. Columns: West Brom goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Preston vs West Brom goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Preston vs West Brom
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Preston | 16% | 6.45 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.45 | |
| West Brom | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| No | 46% | 2.18 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Preston or draw) | 38% | 2.63 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or West Brom) | 84% | 1.18 | |
| Handicap -1 | West Brom win by 2+ | 39% | 2.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Preston and West Brom recent form
Preston
0W 1D 5L
West Brom
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Preston at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
West Brom away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Preston at home only, West Brom away only.
Preston vs West Brom head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Preston 0 · draws 0 · West Brom 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Preston | 0-2 | West Brom | England Championship |
| 2025-10-18 | West Brom | 2-1 | Preston | England Championship |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Sheffield Utd v Derby — match page 2026-10-24
- Wolverhampton Wanderers v Watford — match page 2026-10-24
- Cardiff vs Birmingham — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- West Ham vs Southampton 2026-10-24
- Blackburn vs Wrexham — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- QPR vs Swansea 2026-10-24
- Stoke City v Bristol City — match page 2026-10-24
- Lincoln vs Burnley — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Preston, previous: Wrexham vs Preston prediction
- West Brom, previous: West Brom vs Blackburn prediction