Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd preview
Portsmouth faces Sheffield Utd with a 42% chance of winning compared to Sheffield Utd's 30%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with a 9% probability. Both teams to score sits at 56%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 51%.
Portsmouth's recent form shows 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 5 matches, while Sheffield Utd has 2 wins and 4 losses in the same period. The head-to-head record favors Sheffield Utd, who have won both of the last two encounters. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd: model vs market
| Source | Portsmouth | Draw | Sheffield Utd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 28% | 30% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 42% | 28% | 30% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Portsmouth and Sheffield Utd expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.73
- Attack rating (Portsmouth / Sheffield Utd)
- 1.01 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Portsmouth / Sheffield Utd)
- 1.07 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Portsmouth goals. Columns: Sheffield Utd goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portsmouth | 42% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 | |
| Sheffield Utd | 30% | 3.33 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| No | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Portsmouth or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Sheffield Utd) | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | Portsmouth win by 2+ | 21% | 4.68 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Portsmouth and Sheffield Utd recent form
Portsmouth
2W 2D 2L
Sheffield Utd
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Portsmouth at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
Sheffield Utd away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Portsmouth at home only, Sheffield Utd away only.
Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Portsmouth 0 · draws 0 · Sheffield Utd 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Portsmouth | 0-1 | Sheffield Utd | England Championship |
| 2025-11-26 | Sheffield Utd | 3-0 | Portsmouth | England Championship |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton 2026-10-13
- Cardiff v Watford — match page 2026-10-13
- Burnley vs Charlton — team news & stats 2026-10-13
- Birmingham vs Preston 2026-10-13
- Stoke City v Middlesbrough — match page 2026-10-13
- Norwich vs Southampton — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- QPR vs Derby 2026-10-14
- Lincoln vs West Ham — team news & stats 2026-10-14
Before and after this match
- Portsmouth, previous: Southampton vs Portsmouth prediction
- Sheffield Utd, previous: Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln: odds and pick