Stoke City vs Preston preview
Stoke City faces Preston with a 71% probability of winning, while Preston has just a 10% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Stoke's expected goals of 2.25 compared to Preston's 0.74. Stoke's recent form shows 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Preston has struggled with 5 losses in their last 6 games.
However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. While Over 2.5 goals stands at 57%, and both teams to score is at 48%, the recent head-to-head record shows Preston has 1 win and 1 draw against Stoke in their last 2 encounters. This could affect the outcome, making it less predictable.
Stoke City vs Preston: model vs market
| Source | Stoke City | Draw | Preston |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71% | 19% | 10% |
| Market | 55% | 25% | 20% |
| Published | 59% | 23% | 17% |
| Edge | +4% | -1% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Stoke City below our published probability: +3.8 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.73, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +2.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Stoke City vs Preston odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Stoke City, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 1.69 | 1.69 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.80 | +0.00 |
| Preston | 4.68 | 4.68 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Stoke City and Preston expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.99
- Attack rating (Stoke City / Preston)
- 1.05 / 0.69
- Defence rating (Stoke City / Preston)
- 0.88 / 1.50
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Stoke City vs Preston score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Stoke City goals. Columns: Preston goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Stoke City vs Preston goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Stoke City vs Preston
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stoke City | 59% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.30 | |
| Preston | 17% | 5.73 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.35 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.10 |
| No | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Stoke City or draw) | 83% | 1.21 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Preston) | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Handicap -1 | Stoke City win by 2+ | 48% | 2.09 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Stoke City and Preston recent form
Stoke City
4W 1D 1L
Preston
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Stoke City at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Preston away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Stoke City at home only, Preston away only.
Stoke City vs Preston head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Stoke City 0 · draws 1 · Preston 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Preston | 3-1 | Stoke City | England Championship |
| 2025-12-26 | Stoke City | 0-0 | Preston | England Championship |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Norwich v Watford — match page 2026-10-31
- Lincoln vs Birmingham 2026-10-31
- Wolverhampton Wanderers v Cardiff — match page 2026-10-31
- Southampton vs QPR — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Burnley vs Portsmouth 2026-10-31
- West Ham v West Brom — match page 2026-10-31
- Millwall vs Derby — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Bolton vs Bristol City 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Stoke City, previous: Stoke City vs Bristol City: odds and pick
- Preston, previous: Preston vs West Brom prediction