West Ham vs West Brom preview
In the Championship fixture between West Ham and West Brom, the 1X2 probabilities show West Ham at 61% to win, while West Brom sits at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. West Ham has an expected goals figure of 2.38 compared to West Brom's 1.27, suggesting a strong attacking performance from the home side.
However, recent form could impact the outcome. West Ham's last six matches show a mixed record of L-W-W-D-D-L, while West Brom has a slightly better run with D-W-W-L-L-D. The model indicates a 71% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance for both teams to score, but if West Brom's defense tightens, these predictions could be challenged.
West Ham vs West Brom: model vs market
| Source | West Ham | Draw | West Brom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61% | 20% | 18% |
| Market | 61% | 21% | 17% |
| Published | 61% | 21% | 18% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.38 vs 1.27.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
West Ham vs West Brom odds movement
Median bookmaker price on West Ham, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 1.52 | 1.52 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.00 |
| West Brom | 5.35 | 5.35 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
West Ham and West Brom expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.65
- Attack rating (West Ham / West Brom)
- 1.78 / 1.05
- Defence rating (West Ham / West Brom)
- 1.00 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
West Ham vs West Brom score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: West Brom goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
West Ham vs West Brom goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for West Ham vs West Brom
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | West Ham | 61% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.72 | |
| West Brom | 18% | 5.66 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.40 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.51 |
| No | 34% | 2.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (West Ham or draw) | 82% | 1.21 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or West Brom) | 39% | 2.57 | |
| Handicap -1 | West Ham win by 2+ | 40% | 2.49 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
West Ham and West Brom recent form
West Ham
2W 2D 2L
West Brom
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
West Ham at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
West Brom away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: West Ham at home only, West Brom away only.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Norwich v Watford — match page 2026-10-31
- Wolverhampton Wanderers v Cardiff — match page 2026-10-31
- Southampton vs QPR — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Burnley vs Portsmouth 2026-10-31
- Millwall vs Derby — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Bolton vs Bristol City 2026-10-31
- Middlesbrough v Charlton — match page 2026-10-31
- Swansea vs Blackburn — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- West Ham, previous: West Ham vs Southampton: odds and pick
- West Brom, previous: Preston vs West Brom prediction