Anstey Nomads vs Macclesfield Prediction & Betting Tips 20/10/2026

Anstey Nomads vs Macclesfield preview

Anstey Nomads face Macclesfield with a 32% chance of winning for Anstey, compared to 43% for Macclesfield. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which occurs with an 8% probability. Anstey Nomads have an expected goals figure of 1.70, while Macclesfield's is slightly lower at 1.56.

Both teams to score stands at 66%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 63%. Recent form shows Anstey Nomads with 2 wins from their last 6 matches, while Macclesfield has 4 wins in the same timeframe. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating uncertainty in the outcome.

Anstey Nomads vs Macclesfield: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Anstey Nomads	Draw	Macclesfield
Model	40%	25%	35%
Market	26%	25%	49%
Published	30%	25%	45%
Edge	+14%	+1%	-15%

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.94, recorded 2026-10-20 — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.

Anstey Nomads vs Macclesfield odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Macclesfield, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-19.

Opened 1.77Now 1.83 +0.06

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Anstey Nomads	3.75	3.42	-0.33
Draw	3.83	3.66	-0.17
Macclesfield	1.77	1.83	+0.06

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Anstey Nomads and Macclesfield expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.70Anstey Nomads

1.56Macclesfield

Total expected goals: 3.26
Attack rating (Anstey Nomads / Macclesfield): 1.23 / 1.29
Defence rating (Anstey Nomads / Macclesfield): 0.82 / 0.77

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Anstey Nomads vs Macclesfield score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.9% 5.0% 4.7% 2.4% 1.3% 1 5.5% 11.2% 7.9% 4.1% 2.3% 2 5.5% 8.6% 6.8% 3.5% 1.9% 3 3.1% 4.9% 3.8% 2.0% 1.1% 4+ 2.0% 3.0% 2.4% 1.2% 0.7%

Rows: Anstey Nomads goals. Columns: Macclesfield goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Anstey Nomads vs Macclesfield goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%

Over 1.5 85%

Over 2.5 63%

Over 3.5 41%

Both teams to score: 66%
No goals (0–0): 5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Anstey Nomads vs Macclesfield

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Anstey Nomads	30%	3.36
	Draw	25%	4.05
	Macclesfield	45%	2.20
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	63%	1.58
	Under 2.5	37%	2.72
Both teams to score	Yes	66%	1.52
	No	34%	2.91
Double chance	1X (Anstey Nomads or draw)	55%	1.83
	12 (either side)	75%	1.33
	X2 (draw or Macclesfield)	70%	1.42
Handicap -1	Macclesfield win by 2+	17%	5.82
	Push (exactly one goal)	17%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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