Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury preview
Crawley Town faces Shrewsbury with 39% chances to win compared to Shrewsbury's 32%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which aligns with Crawley's expected goals of 1.30 against Shrewsbury's 1.16. Both teams to score stands at 51%, indicating a decent chance for goals from both sides.
Crawley Town's recent form shows D-L-L-L-D-L, while Shrewsbury has L-W-D-D-W-L. This disparity in form could affect the outcome, as Crawley struggles to secure wins. Additionally, the 44% chance for Over 2.5 goals suggests that while scoring may be limited, there is potential for more than two goals if both teams find their rhythm.
Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury: model vs market
| Source | Crawley Town | Draw | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 30% | 32% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 39% | 30% | 32% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Crawley Town and Shrewsbury expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.45
- Attack rating (Crawley Town / Shrewsbury)
- 0.84 / 0.78
- Defence rating (Crawley Town / Shrewsbury)
- 1.27 / 1.11
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Crawley Town goals. Columns: Shrewsbury goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Crawley Town | 39% | 2.59 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.36 | |
| Shrewsbury | 32% | 3.16 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44% | 2.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 1.80 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.96 |
| No | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Crawley Town or draw) | 68% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Shrewsbury) | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Handicap -1 | Crawley Town win by 2+ | 18% | 5.58 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Crawley Town and Shrewsbury recent form
Crawley Town
0W 2D 4L
Shrewsbury
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Crawley Town at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Shrewsbury away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Crawley Town at home only, Shrewsbury away only.
Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Crawley Town 0 · draws 1 · Shrewsbury 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Crawley Town | 0-0 | Shrewsbury | League Two |
| 2025-10-18 | Shrewsbury | 1-0 | Crawley Town | League Two |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Rotherham vs Newport County — team news & stats 2026-10-20
- Bristol Rovers vs Salford City 2026-10-20
- Northampton v Tranmere — match page 2026-10-20
- Rochdale vs Grimsby — team news & stats 2026-10-20
- Walsall vs Oldham 2026-10-20
- Chesterfield v Colchester — match page 2026-10-20
- Exeter City vs Crewe 2026-10-20
- Barnet v Swindon Town — match page 2026-10-20
Before and after this match
- Crawley Town, previous: Salford City vs Crawley Town: odds and pick
- Shrewsbury, previous: Shrewsbury – Bristol Rovers, 2026-10-17