York vs Walsall preview
In the upcoming match between York and Walsall, the 1X2 probabilities show York at 46%, Walsall at 30%, and a draw at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with a 9% chance. The model also suggests a strong possibility of Over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 68%.
However, the confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty. Recent form shows York with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, while Walsall has 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. This inconsistency could affect the outcome, making it possible for the predictions to be off.
York vs Walsall: model vs market
| Source | York | Draw | Walsall |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 24% | 30% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 46% | 24% | 30% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.53.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
York and Walsall expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.45
- Attack rating (York / Walsall)
- 1.36 / 1.16
- Defence rating (York / Walsall)
- 1.11 / 1.00
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
York vs Walsall score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: York goals. Columns: Walsall goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
York vs Walsall goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for York vs Walsall
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | York | 46% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.19 | |
| Walsall | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.49 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.03 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| No | 32% | 3.10 | |
| Double chance | 1X (York or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Walsall) | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Handicap -1 | York win by 2+ | 26% | 3.78 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
York and Walsall recent form
York
2W 2D 2L
Walsall
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
York at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-0
- Win rate
- 71%
- Goals for / match
- 2.29
- Goals against / match
- 0.71
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Walsall away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-5-0
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 0.86
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: York at home only, Walsall away only.
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
- Northampton v Rochdale — match page 2026-11-21
- Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury — team news & stats 2026-11-21
- Oldham vs Exeter City 2026-11-21
- Accrington ST v Salford City — match page 2026-11-21
- Crawley Town vs Fleetwood Town — team news & stats 2026-11-21
- Grimsby vs Rotherham 2026-11-21
- Barnet v Port Vale — match page 2026-11-21
- Cheltenham vs Bristol Rovers — team news & stats 2026-11-21
Before and after this match
- York, previous: Rochdale vs York: odds and pick
- York, next: York – Carlisle, 2026-12-05
- Walsall, previous: Walsall vs Barnet prediction