Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg preview
In the upcoming match between Dynamo Dresden and 1. FC Magdeburg, the 1X2 probabilities show Dynamo Dresden at 35%, a draw at 25%, and 1. FC Magdeburg at 39%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 9% chance. The expected goals are 1.32 for Dynamo Dresden and 1.85 for 1. FC Magdeburg, indicating a potentially high-scoring game.
Both teams to score has a 63% likelihood, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 61%. Dynamo Dresden's recent form shows D-L-D-L-L-W, while 1. FC Magdeburg has a stronger W-D-W-L-W-W record. These recent performances could affect the outcome, especially if Dynamo Dresden improves their form.
Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg: model vs market
| Source | Dynamo Dresden | Draw | 1. FC Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 25% | 49% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 36% |
| Published | 35% | 25% | 39% |
| Edge | -12% | -1% | +13% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.32.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices 1. FC Magdeburg below the model: +12.5 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.62, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg odds movement
Median bookmaker price on 1. FC Magdeburg, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Dresden | 2.43 | 2.44 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.64 | -0.01 |
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 2.61 | 2.56 | -0.05 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Dynamo Dresden and 1. FC Magdeburg expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.17
- Attack rating (Dynamo Dresden / 1. FC Magdeburg)
- 1.09 / 1.30
- Defence rating (Dynamo Dresden / 1. FC Magdeburg)
- 1.07 / 0.73
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dynamo Dresden goals. Columns: 1. FC Magdeburg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dynamo Dresden | 35% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 | |
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 39% | 2.53 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.63 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.59 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.59 |
| No | 37% | 2.69 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dynamo Dresden or draw) | 61% | 1.65 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or 1. FC Magdeburg) | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Handicap -1 | 1. FC Magdeburg win by 2+ | 28% | 3.59 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dynamo Dresden and 1. FC Magdeburg recent form
Dynamo Dresden
1W 2D 3L
1. FC Magdeburg
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dynamo Dresden at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
1. FC Magdeburg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dynamo Dresden at home only, 1. FC Magdeburg away only.
Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Dynamo Dresden 1 · draws 0 · 1. FC Magdeburg 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1-2 | Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2025-08-09 | Dynamo Dresden | 1-2 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
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- 1. FC Kaiserslautern v Bochum — match page 2026-10-17
- Hannover 96 vs St. Pauli — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Dynamo Dresden, previous: VfL Osnabrück – Dynamo Dresden, 2026-10-10
- Dynamo Dresden, next: Dynamo Dresden vs FC Schalke 04: odds and pick
- 1. FC Magdeburg, previous: 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96 prediction
- 1. FC Magdeburg, next: Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Magdeburg: odds and pick