Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt preview
In the 2. Bundesliga fixture between Karlsruher SC and Darmstadt, the 1X2 probabilities show Karlsruher SC at 42%, Darmstadt at 33%, and a draw at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score stands at 62%, while Over 2.5 goals is predicted at 59%.
Karlsruher SC's recent form includes 1 win in their last 5 matches, while Darmstadt has seen 3 wins in their last 5. The expected goals are 1.60 for Karlsruher SC and 1.45 for Darmstadt. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions. A low-scoring game or a draw could make the outcome different from the predictions.
Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt: model vs market
| Source | Karlsruher SC | Draw | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| Market | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Published | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| Edge | -3% | +2% | +1% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.27, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Karlsruher SC, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karlsruher SC | 2.20 | 2.18 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 3.90 | 3.89 | -0.01 |
| Darmstadt | 2.85 | 2.81 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Karlsruher SC and Darmstadt expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.05
- Attack rating (Karlsruher SC / Darmstadt)
- 0.77 / 0.89
- Defence rating (Karlsruher SC / Darmstadt)
- 1.23 / 1.26
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Karlsruher SC goals. Columns: Darmstadt goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karlsruher SC | 42% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.07 | |
| Darmstadt | 33% | 3.00 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| No | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Karlsruher SC or draw) | 67% | 1.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Darmstadt) | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | Karlsruher SC win by 2+ | 21% | 4.83 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Karlsruher SC and Darmstadt recent form
Karlsruher SC
1W 1D 4L
Darmstadt
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Karlsruher SC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Darmstadt away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Karlsruher SC at home only, Darmstadt away only.
Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Karlsruher SC 1 · draws 0 · Darmstadt 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Karlsruher SC | 2-1 | Darmstadt | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2025-12-06 | Darmstadt | 3-2 | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
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- Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg 2026-10-16
- Wolfsburg v FC Heidenheim — match page 2026-10-17
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig 2026-10-17
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern v Bochum — match page 2026-10-17
- Hannover 96 vs St. Pauli — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Dynamo Dresden v 1. FC Magdeburg — match page 2026-10-18
- Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Karlsruher SC, previous: St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC: odds and pick
- Karlsruher SC, next: Borussia M.Gladbach – Karlsruher SC, 2026-10-27
- Darmstadt, previous: Darmstadt v Energie Cottbus analysis
- Darmstadt, next: SV Elversberg v Darmstadt analysis