1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Bochum Prediction & Betting Tips 17/10/2026

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Bochum preview

In the matchup between 1. FC Kaiserslautern and Bochum, the 1X2 probabilities show 1. FC Kaiserslautern at 42% and Bochum at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 18%. This suggests a tight game, with 1. FC Kaiserslautern expected to edge it.

However, the chances for Over 2.5 goals stand at just 23%, and both teams to score is at 32%. Kaiserslautern's expected goals are 1.02, while Bochum's are lower at 0.65. Recent form indicates that while Kaiserslautern has won 3 of their last 5 matches, Bochum has also shown resilience with 3 wins in their last 5. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the outcome.

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Bochum: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	1. FC Kaiserslautern	Draw	Bochum
Model	43%	37%	20%
Market	38%	27%	35%
Published	39%	29%	31%
Edge	+5%	+10%	-15%

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.97 vs 0.58.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
The market prices 1. FC Kaiserslautern below the model: +4.5 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.52, recorded 2026-10-14 — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Bochum odds movement

Median bookmaker price on 1. FC Kaiserslautern, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-11.

Opened 2.34Now 2.44 +0.10

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
1. FC Kaiserslautern	2.34	2.44	+0.10
Draw	3.60	3.48	-0.12
Bochum	2.77	2.66	-0.11

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

1. FC Kaiserslautern and Bochum expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.971. FC Kaiserslautern

0.58Bochum

Total expected goals: 1.55
Attack rating (1. FC Kaiserslautern / Bochum): 0.70 / 0.78
Defence rating (1. FC Kaiserslautern / Bochum): 0.56 / 0.84

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Bochum score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 22.3% 11.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 1 19.4% 13.1% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 2 10.0% 5.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 3 3.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 4+ 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: 1. FC Kaiserslautern goals. Columns: Bochum goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Bochum goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 78%

Over 1.5 47%

Over 2.5 20%

Over 3.5 7%

Both teams to score: 29%
No goals (0–0): 22%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Bochum

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	1. FC Kaiserslautern	39%	2.55
	Draw	29%	3.40
	Bochum	31%	3.19
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	20%	4.88
	Under 2.5	80%	1.26
Both teams to score	Yes	29%	3.50
	No	71%	1.40
Double chance	1X (1. FC Kaiserslautern or draw)	69%	1.46
	12 (either side)	71%	1.42
	X2 (draw or Bochum)	61%	1.65
Handicap -1	1. FC Kaiserslautern win by 2+	17%	5.92
	Push (exactly one goal)	26%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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1. FC Kaiserslautern and Bochum recent form

1. FC Kaiserslautern 4W 1D 1L

Bochum 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

1. FC Kaiserslautern at home

Record (W-D-L): 2-1-0
Win rate: 67%
Goals for / match: 1.33
Goals against / match: 0.00
Clean sheets: 3 of 3

They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bochum away

Record (W-D-L): 2-0-1
Win rate: 67%
Goals for / match: 1.33
Goals against / match: 1.00
Clean sheets: 1 of 3

They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: 1. FC Kaiserslautern at home only, Bochum away only.

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Bochum head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: 1. FC Kaiserslautern 4 · draws 2 · Bochum 4.

40% 20% 40%

1. FC KaiserslauternDrawsBochum

Previous meetings
Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
2026-03-07	Bochum	3-2	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga
2025-10-04	1. FC Kaiserslautern	3-2	Bochum	2. Bundesliga
2018-04-13	Bochum	3-2	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga
2017-11-03	1. FC Kaiserslautern	0-0	Bochum	2. Bundesliga
2017-04-05	Bochum	0-0	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga
2016-10-24	1. FC Kaiserslautern	3-0	Bochum	2. Bundesliga
2016-03-14	1. FC Kaiserslautern	0-2	Bochum	2. Bundesliga
2015-10-27	Bochum	1-0	1. FC Kaiserslautern	DFB Pokal
2015-09-25	Bochum	1-2	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga
2015-04-24	Bochum	0-2	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

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Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg 2026-10-16
Wolfsburg v FC Heidenheim — match page 2026-10-17
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig 2026-10-17
Hannover 96 vs St. Pauli — team news & stats 2026-10-17
Dynamo Dresden v 1. FC Magdeburg — match page 2026-10-18
Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt — team news & stats 2026-10-18

Before and after this match

1. FC Kaiserslautern, previous: FC Heidenheim – 1. FC Kaiserslautern, 2026-10-09
1. FC Kaiserslautern, next: Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern: odds and pick
Bochum, previous: Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld: odds and pick
Bochum, next: Bochum v Mainz 05 analysis

Prediction snapshot 1. FC Kaiserslautern to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on 1. FC Kaiserslautern