SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig preview
In the 2. Bundesliga fixture, SpVgg Greuther Fürth has a 49% chance of winning against Eintracht Braunschweig, who sit at 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with a 10% probability. The model suggests a high likelihood for Over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 62%.
Greuther Fürth's expected goals stand at 1.83, while Eintracht Braunschweig has 1.29. Recent form shows Fürth with two draws and three losses in their last six matches, while Braunschweig has one win and five losses. The head-to-head record indicates Fürth has not won against Braunschweig in their last two encounters, which could affect their performance.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig: model vs market
| Source | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | Draw | Eintracht Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 25% | 28% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
| Published | 46% | 25% | 29% |
| Edge | +2% | 0% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.35.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig odds movement
Median bookmaker price on SpVgg Greuther Fürth, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2.12 | 2.06 | -0.06 |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.75 | +0.05 |
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 3.01 | 3.14 | +0.13 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Eintracht Braunschweig expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.17
- Attack rating (SpVgg Greuther Fürth / Eintracht Braunschweig)
- 0.94 / 0.98
- Defence rating (SpVgg Greuther Fürth / Eintracht Braunschweig)
- 1.04 / 1.17
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SpVgg Greuther Fürth goals. Columns: Eintracht Braunschweig goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 46% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.01 | |
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 29% | 3.42 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.63 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.59 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.58 |
| No | 37% | 2.71 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw) | 71% | 1.41 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Eintracht Braunschweig) | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Handicap -1 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth win by 2+ | 27% | 3.77 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Eintracht Braunschweig recent form
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1W 2D 3L
Eintracht Braunschweig
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SpVgg Greuther Fürth at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Eintracht Braunschweig away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
League matches this season before kick-off: SpVgg Greuther Fürth at home only, Eintracht Braunschweig away only.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5 · draws 3 · Eintracht Braunschweig 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 0-0 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2025-08-09 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 3-2 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2025-02-23 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 3-0 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2024-09-21 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2-0 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2024-05-04 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 3-3 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2023-12-02 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 0-1 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2023-05-13 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2-2 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2022-11-06 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 0-1 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2021-04-20 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 3-0 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2020-12-19 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 0-3 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC 2026-10-16
- Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg 2026-10-16
- Wolfsburg v FC Heidenheim — match page 2026-10-17
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern v Bochum — match page 2026-10-17
- Hannover 96 vs St. Pauli — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Dynamo Dresden v 1. FC Magdeburg — match page 2026-10-18
- Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth, previous: Hertha BSC – SpVgg Greuther Fürth, 2026-10-11
- Eintracht Braunschweig, previous: Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel prediction