Aduana Stars vs Bechem United preview
Aduana Stars face Bechem United with a 55% chance of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 16% probability. Aduana Stars have an expected goals figure of 1.44, compared to Bechem United's 0.67. Recent form shows Aduana Stars with two wins in their last six matches, while Bechem United has won three out of their last six.
The model suggests a 35% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance for both teams to score. These figures indicate that while Aduana Stars are favored, Bechem United's recent results could lead to an unexpected outcome. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Aduana Stars vs Bechem United: model vs market
| Source | Aduana Stars | Draw | Bechem United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 29% | 16% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 55% | 29% | 16% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 0.67.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Aduana Stars and Bechem United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.11
- Attack rating (Aduana Stars / Bechem United)
- 0.87 / 1.44
- Defence rating (Aduana Stars / Bechem United)
- 0.70 / 1.21
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Aduana Stars vs Bechem United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Aduana Stars goals. Columns: Bechem United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Aduana Stars vs Bechem United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 38%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Aduana Stars vs Bechem United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aduana Stars | 55% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 | |
| Bechem United | 16% | 6.21 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35% | 2.84 |
| Under 2.5 | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38% | 2.61 |
| No | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Aduana Stars or draw) | 84% | 1.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Bechem United) | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Handicap -1 | Aduana Stars win by 2+ | 28% | 3.52 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Aduana Stars and Bechem United recent form
Aduana Stars
3W 1D 2L
Bechem United
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Aduana Stars at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bechem United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Aduana Stars at home only, Bechem United away only.
Aduana Stars vs Bechem United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Aduana Stars 4 · draws 2 · Bechem United 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Bechem United | 2-1 | Aduana Stars | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-10-12 | Aduana Stars | 2-1 | Bechem United | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-02-02 | Aduana Stars | 1-0 | Bechem United | Premier League |
| 2024-09-15 | Bechem United | 0-0 | Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| 2024-06-01 | Bechem United | 1-0 | Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| 2023-12-15 | Aduana Stars | 1-0 | Bechem United | Premier League |
| 2023-06-11 | Aduana Stars | 1-0 | Bechem United | Premier League |
| 2023-02-10 | Bechem United | 0-0 | Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| 2022-06-05 | Bechem United | 1-0 | Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| 2022-01-29 | Aduana Stars | 0-1 | Bechem United | Premier League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
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- Swedru All Blacks v Berekum Chelsea — match page 2026-11-15
- Basake Holy Stars vs Vision — team news & stats 2026-11-15
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Before and after this match
- Aduana Stars, previous: Bibiani Gold Stars v Aduana Stars analysis
- Bechem United, previous: Bechem United – Samartex, 2026-11-08