Asante Kotoko vs Bibiani Gold Stars preview
Asante Kotoko has a 49% chance to win against Bibiani Gold Stars, who have a 22% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 13% of the time in our model. Asante Kotoko's expected goals stand at 1.45, while Bibiani Gold Stars are at 0.89.
While both teams to score has a 46% probability, recent form shows Asante Kotoko with two draws and a win in their last five matches, while Bibiani Gold Stars have one win and two draws in the same timeframe. This could lead to a tighter match than expected, impacting the likelihood of a higher score or both teams finding the net.
Asante Kotoko vs Bibiani Gold Stars: model vs market
| Source | Asante Kotoko | Draw | Bibiani Gold Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 29% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 49% | 29% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.89.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Asante Kotoko and Bibiani Gold Stars expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.34
- Attack rating (Asante Kotoko / Bibiani Gold Stars)
- 1.01 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Asante Kotoko / Bibiani Gold Stars)
- 1.27 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Asante Kotoko vs Bibiani Gold Stars score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Asante Kotoko goals. Columns: Bibiani Gold Stars goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Asante Kotoko vs Bibiani Gold Stars goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Asante Kotoko vs Bibiani Gold Stars
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asante Kotoko | 49% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.43 | |
| Bibiani Gold Stars | 22% | 4.59 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.71 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.16 |
| No | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Asante Kotoko or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Bibiani Gold Stars) | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Handicap -1 | Asante Kotoko win by 2+ | 25% | 3.98 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Asante Kotoko and Bibiani Gold Stars recent form
Asante Kotoko
2W 2D 2L
Bibiani Gold Stars
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Asante Kotoko at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
Bibiani Gold Stars away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Asante Kotoko at home only, Bibiani Gold Stars away only.
Asante Kotoko vs Bibiani Gold Stars head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Asante Kotoko 5 · draws 4 · Bibiani Gold Stars 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 0-0 | Asante Kotoko | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-10-08 | Asante Kotoko | 2-0 | Bibiani Gold Stars | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-08-31 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 0-1 | Asante Kotoko | Super Cup |
| 2025-05-25 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 0-0 | Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
| 2024-12-27 | Asante Kotoko | 2-0 | Bibiani Gold Stars | Premier League |
| 2024-03-01 | Asante Kotoko | 1-0 | Bibiani Gold Stars | Premier League |
| 2024-01-07 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 0-1 | Asante Kotoko | Cup |
| 2023-09-23 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 2-1 | Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
| 2023-05-07 | Asante Kotoko | 1-1 | Bibiani Gold Stars | Premier League |
| 2023-01-16 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 1-1 | Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Heart of Lions v Dreams — match page 2026-11-14
- Ashanti Gold vs Karela — team news & stats 2026-11-15
- Aduana Stars vs Bechem United 2026-11-15
- Samartex vs Hearts of Oak — team news & stats 2026-11-15
- Debibi United vs Port City 2026-11-15
- Swedru All Blacks v Berekum Chelsea — match page 2026-11-15
- Basake Holy Stars vs Vision — team news & stats 2026-11-15
- Young Apostles vs Medeama 2026-11-15
Before and after this match
- Asante Kotoko, previous: Berekum Chelsea v Asante Kotoko analysis
- Bibiani Gold Stars, previous: Bibiani Gold Stars v Aduana Stars analysis