Basake Holy Stars vs Vision preview
In the matchup between Basake Holy Stars and Vision, the 1X2 probabilities show Basake Holy Stars at 31%, a draw at 38%, and Vision at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 0-0, which has a 21% chance of occurring. Both teams have struggled recently, with Basake Holy Stars recording three losses in their last five matches, while Vision has two draws and three mixed results.
The expected goals are close, with Basake Holy Stars at 0.81 and Vision at 0.82. The model suggests a low likelihood for Over 2.5 goals at just 22% and a 32% chance for both teams to score. These figures indicate a potentially tight match, but if either team improves their scoring form, the predictions could shift.
Basake Holy Stars vs Vision: model vs market
| Source | Basake Holy Stars | Draw | Vision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 38% | 32% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 31% | 38% | 32% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Basake Holy Stars and Vision expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.63
- Attack rating (Basake Holy Stars / Vision)
- 0.61 / 1.09
- Defence rating (Basake Holy Stars / Vision)
- 1.14 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Basake Holy Stars vs Vision score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Basake Holy Stars goals. Columns: Vision goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Basake Holy Stars vs Vision goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 32%
- No goals (0–0)
- 21%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Basake Holy Stars vs Vision
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Basake Holy Stars | 31% | 3.24 |
| Draw | 38% | 2.66 | |
| Vision | 32% | 3.17 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22% | 4.47 |
| Under 2.5 | 78% | 1.29 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32% | 3.09 |
| No | 68% | 1.48 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Basake Holy Stars or draw) | 68% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 62% | 1.60 | |
| X2 (draw or Vision) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vision win by 2+ | 11% | 9.25 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Basake Holy Stars and Vision recent form
Basake Holy Stars
2W 0D 4L
Vision
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Basake Holy Stars at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 0.20
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
Vision away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Basake Holy Stars at home only, Vision away only.
Basake Holy Stars vs Vision head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Basake Holy Stars 1 · draws 2 · Vision 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | Vision | 0-0 | Basake Holy Stars | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-11-16 | Basake Holy Stars | 2-2 | Vision | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-04-16 | Basake Holy Stars | 1-0 | Vision | Premier League |
| 2024-10-06 | Vision | 1-0 | Basake Holy Stars | Premier League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Heart of Lions v Dreams — match page 2026-11-14
- Ashanti Gold vs Karela — team news & stats 2026-11-15
- Aduana Stars vs Bechem United 2026-11-15
- Samartex vs Hearts of Oak — team news & stats 2026-11-15
- Debibi United vs Port City 2026-11-15
- Swedru All Blacks v Berekum Chelsea — match page 2026-11-15
- Young Apostles vs Medeama 2026-11-15
- Asante Kotoko v Bibiani Gold Stars — match page 2026-11-15
Before and after this match
- Basake Holy Stars, previous: Port City vs Basake Holy Stars: odds and pick
- Vision, previous: Karela vs Vision prediction