Ashanti Gold vs Karela preview
In the Ghana Premier League fixture between Ashanti Gold and Karela, the 1X2 probabilities show Ashanti Gold at 62%, while Karela sits at 11%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 19% chance. Ashanti Gold's expected goals are 1.55 compared to Karela's 0.49, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction. Both teams to score has a probability of 32%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 34%. Karela's recent form includes a win, which could boost their confidence. Ashanti Gold's recent results show inconsistency, with two losses in their last five matches, which might affect their performance.
Ashanti Gold vs Karela: model vs market
| Source | Ashanti Gold | Draw | Karela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60% | 29% | 11% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 60% | 29% | 11% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.44.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Ashanti Gold and Karela expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.83
- Attack rating (Ashanti Gold / Karela)
- 1.06 / 0.71
- Defence rating (Ashanti Gold / Karela)
- 0.94 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ashanti Gold vs Karela score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ashanti Gold goals. Columns: Karela goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ashanti Gold vs Karela goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 28%
- No goals (0–0)
- 17%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ashanti Gold vs Karela
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ashanti Gold | 60% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 | |
| Karela | 11% | 9.35 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28% | 3.59 |
| Under 2.5 | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28% | 3.59 |
| No | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ashanti Gold or draw) | 89% | 1.12 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Karela) | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ashanti Gold win by 2+ | 31% | 3.22 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 29% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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| 3 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ashanti Gold and Karela recent form
Ashanti Gold
2W 2D 2L
Karela
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ashanti Gold at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Karela away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ashanti Gold at home only, Karela away only.
Ashanti Gold vs Karela head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Ashanti Gold 2 · draws 3 · Karela 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-06 | Karela | 2-1 | Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
| 2021-11-06 | Ashanti Gold | 1-1 | Karela | Premier League |
| 2021-04-04 | Karela | 1-1 | Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
| 2020-11-15 | Ashanti Gold | 2-2 | Karela | Premier League |
| 2020-03-15 | Karela | 1-2 | Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
| 2018-03-28 | Karela | 0-1 | Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
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- Debibi United vs Port City 2026-11-15
- Swedru All Blacks v Berekum Chelsea — match page 2026-11-15
- Basake Holy Stars vs Vision — team news & stats 2026-11-15
- Young Apostles vs Medeama 2026-11-15
- Asante Kotoko v Bibiani Gold Stars — match page 2026-11-15
Before and after this match
- Ashanti Gold, previous: Ashanti Gold vs Young Apostles prediction
- Karela, previous: Karela vs Vision prediction