Swedru All Blacks vs Berekum Chelsea preview
Swedru All Blacks face Berekum Chelsea with a 57% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 15% of the time in simulations. Swedru's expected goals stand at 1.56, while Berekum Chelsea's is only 0.69.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction. Both teams to score has a 41% likelihood, indicating a chance for Berekum Chelsea to find the net. Swedru's recent form shows inconsistency with 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Berekum Chelsea has also struggled, recording only 1 win in the same period.
Swedru All Blacks vs Berekum Chelsea: model vs market
| Source | Swedru All Blacks | Draw | Berekum Chelsea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 29% | 18% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 53% | 29% | 18% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.74.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Swedru All Blacks and Berekum Chelsea expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.22
- Attack rating (Swedru All Blacks / Berekum Chelsea)
- 1.08 / 1.20
- Defence rating (Swedru All Blacks / Berekum Chelsea)
- 0.94 / 1.00
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Swedru All Blacks vs Berekum Chelsea score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Swedru All Blacks goals. Columns: Berekum Chelsea goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Swedru All Blacks vs Berekum Chelsea goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Swedru All Blacks vs Berekum Chelsea
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Swedru All Blacks | 53% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.46 | |
| Berekum Chelsea | 18% | 5.64 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.40 |
| No | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Swedru All Blacks or draw) | 82% | 1.22 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Berekum Chelsea) | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Handicap -1 | Swedru All Blacks win by 2+ | 28% | 3.58 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Swedru All Blacks and Berekum Chelsea recent form
Swedru All Blacks
3W 0D 3L
Berekum Chelsea
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Swedru All Blacks at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Berekum Chelsea away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Swedru All Blacks at home only, Berekum Chelsea away only.
Swedru All Blacks vs Berekum Chelsea head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Swedru All Blacks 1 · draws 1 · Berekum Chelsea 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Berekum Chelsea | 0-0 | Swedru All Blacks | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-09-21 | Swedru All Blacks | 3-0 | Berekum Chelsea | Ghana Premier League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Heart of Lions v Dreams — match page 2026-11-14
- Ashanti Gold vs Karela — team news & stats 2026-11-15
- Aduana Stars vs Bechem United 2026-11-15
- Samartex vs Hearts of Oak — team news & stats 2026-11-15
- Debibi United vs Port City 2026-11-15
- Basake Holy Stars vs Vision — team news & stats 2026-11-15
- Young Apostles vs Medeama 2026-11-15
- Asante Kotoko v Bibiani Gold Stars — match page 2026-11-15
Before and after this match
- Swedru All Blacks, previous: Medeama – Swedru All Blacks, 2026-11-08
- Berekum Chelsea, previous: Berekum Chelsea v Asante Kotoko analysis