Young Apostles vs Medeama preview
In the Ghana Premier League fixture between Young Apostles and Medeama, the 1X2 probabilities show Young Apostles at 34%, a draw at 34%, and Medeama at 33%. The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 15%. Both teams to score has a probability of 41%, while Over 2.5 goals sits at 32%.
Young Apostles have a recent form of D-D-L-L-W-L, while Medeama shows stronger form with W-D-W-L-W-W. The expected goals are very close, with Young Apostles at 1.00 and Medeama at 0.99. The head-to-head record favors Medeama, who have 2 wins against Young Apostles' 0. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a level of uncertainty in the predictions.
Young Apostles vs Medeama: model vs market
| Source | Young Apostles | Draw | Medeama |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 34% | 33% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 34% | 34% | 33% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Young Apostles and Medeama expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.00
- Attack rating (Young Apostles / Medeama)
- 0.76 / 1.38
- Defence rating (Young Apostles / Medeama)
- 1.09 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Young Apostles vs Medeama score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Young Apostles goals. Columns: Medeama goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Young Apostles vs Medeama goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 41%
- No goals (0–0)
- 15%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Young Apostles vs Medeama
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Young Apostles | 34% | 2.98 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.98 | |
| Medeama | 33% | 3.05 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32% | 3.11 |
| Under 2.5 | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41% | 2.43 |
| No | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Young Apostles or draw) | 67% | 1.49 |
| 12 (either side) | 66% | 1.51 | |
| X2 (draw or Medeama) | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Handicap -1 | Young Apostles win by 2+ | 13% | 7.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Young Apostles and Medeama recent form
Young Apostles
1W 2D 3L
Medeama
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Young Apostles at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
Medeama away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Young Apostles at home only, Medeama away only.
Young Apostles vs Medeama head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Young Apostles 0 · draws 0 · Medeama 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | Medeama | 3-0 | Young Apostles | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-09-14 | Young Apostles | 0-2 | Medeama | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-04-26 | Medeama | 3-0 | Young Apostles | Premier League |
| 2024-11-24 | Young Apostles | 0-2 | Medeama | Premier League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Heart of Lions v Dreams — match page 2026-11-14
- Ashanti Gold vs Karela — team news & stats 2026-11-15
- Aduana Stars vs Bechem United 2026-11-15
- Samartex vs Hearts of Oak — team news & stats 2026-11-15
- Debibi United vs Port City 2026-11-15
- Swedru All Blacks v Berekum Chelsea — match page 2026-11-15
- Basake Holy Stars vs Vision — team news & stats 2026-11-15
- Asante Kotoko v Bibiani Gold Stars — match page 2026-11-15
Before and after this match
- Young Apostles, previous: Ashanti Gold vs Young Apostles prediction
- Medeama, previous: Medeama – Swedru All Blacks, 2026-11-08