Updated

Ghana Premier League · Matchday 11

Debibi United vs Port City

Alin prediction The draw

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 0

19% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Debibi UnitedDrawPort City
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Debibi United vs Port City preview

In the Ghana Premier League fixture between Debibi United and Port City, the 1X2 probabilities show Debibi United at 34%, a draw at 36%, and Port City at 30%. The most likely scoreline according to our model is 0-0, which is expected 19% of the time.

Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Debibi United recording D-W-L-W-L-L and Port City at W-D-W-D-L-W. This could lead to a lower-scoring game, as our model predicts Over 2.5 goals at just 25% and both teams to score at 35%. The expected goals are 0.90 for Debibi United and 0.83 for Port City, indicating a tight contest.

Debibi United vs Port City: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceDebibi UnitedDrawPort City
Model34%36%30%
Market———
Published34%36%30%
Edge———

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Debibi United and Port City expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.90Debibi United
0.83Port City
Total expected goals
1.73
Attack rating (Debibi United / Port City)
0.88 / 1.07
Defence rating (Debibi United / Port City)
1.17 / 0.75

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Debibi United vs Port City score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 19.1% 13.4% 6.1% 1.7% 0.4% 1 14.7% 14.6% 5.5% 1.5% 0.4% 2 7.2% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 3 2.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 4+ 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Debibi United goals. Columns: Port City goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Debibi United vs Port City goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 81%
Over 1.5 53%
Over 2.5 25%
Over 3.5 10%
Both teams to score
35%
No goals (0–0)
19%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Debibi United vs Port City

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Debibi United34%2.96
Draw36%2.75
Port City30%3.35
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.525%4.00
Under 2.575%1.33
Both teams to scoreYes35%2.88
No65%1.53
Double chance1X (Debibi United or draw)70%1.43
12 (either side)64%1.57
X2 (draw or Port City)66%1.51
Handicap -1Debibi United win by 2+12%8.07
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
# Betting site Welcome offer Why it is here Visit
1 Mozzartbet 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.
  • M-PESA Paybill 290059
  • Daily Jackpot
  • Live betting
Get offer
2 Betwinner First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • Live betting around the clock
  • 30+ markets on live events
Get offer
3 22Bet 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.
  • M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits
  • Live in-play betting
  • Android and iOS app
Get offer
4 Melbet 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • 30+ markets on live events
  • 24/7 customer support
Get offer

Debibi United and Port City recent form

Debibi United 2W 1D 3L
Port City 3W 2D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Debibi United at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
1.40
Goals against / match
0.60
Clean sheets
3 of 5
  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.

Port City away

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
0.80
Goals against / match
0.60
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Debibi United at home only, Port City away only.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot The draw Predicted score 0 – 0 C Bet on this match