Asante Kotoko vs Young Apostles preview
Asante Kotoko faces Young Apostles with a 52% chance of winning compared to 18% for Young Apostles. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 15% of the time according to our model. Asante Kotoko has an expected goals tally of 1.41, while Young Apostles sits at 0.73.
However, there are factors that could lead to different outcomes. The chance of Over 2.5 goals is 36%, and both teams to score stands at 40%. Recent form shows Asante Kotoko with mixed results at L-W-L-D-W-D, while Young Apostles has struggled with W-L-L-L-W-L. This could influence the match dynamics significantly.
Asante Kotoko vs Young Apostles: model vs market
| Source | Asante Kotoko | Draw | Young Apostles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 30% | 18% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 52% | 30% | 18% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.73.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Asante Kotoko and Young Apostles expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.14
- Attack rating (Asante Kotoko / Young Apostles)
- 0.90 / 0.90
- Defence rating (Asante Kotoko / Young Apostles)
- 1.23 / 1.12
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Asante Kotoko vs Young Apostles score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Asante Kotoko goals. Columns: Young Apostles goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Asante Kotoko vs Young Apostles goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Asante Kotoko vs Young Apostles
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asante Kotoko | 52% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Young Apostles | 18% | 5.48 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.77 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.47 |
| No | 60% | 1.68 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Asante Kotoko or draw) | 82% | 1.22 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Young Apostles) | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Handicap -1 | Asante Kotoko win by 2+ | 26% | 3.78 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Asante Kotoko and Young Apostles recent form
Asante Kotoko
2W 2D 2L
Young Apostles
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Asante Kotoko at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Young Apostles away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Asante Kotoko at home only, Young Apostles away only.
Asante Kotoko vs Young Apostles head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Asante Kotoko 2 · draws 2 · Young Apostles 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Young Apostles | 0-2 | Asante Kotoko | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-11-19 | Asante Kotoko | 2-1 | Young Apostles | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-03-19 | Young Apostles | 0-0 | Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
| 2024-09-22 | Asante Kotoko | 1-1 | Young Apostles | Premier League |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Heart of Lions vs Berekum Chelsea 2026-10-17
- Vision vs Hearts of Oak — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Aduana Stars vs Ashanti Gold — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Samartex v Medeama — match page 2026-10-18
- Debibi United vs Bibiani Gold Stars — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Swedru All Blacks vs Karela 2026-10-18
- Basake Holy Stars v Bechem United — match page 2026-10-18
- Port City vs Dreams 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Asante Kotoko, previous: Swedru All Blacks vs Asante Kotoko: odds and pick
- Young Apostles, previous: Young Apostles vs Aduana Stars: odds and pick