Samartex vs Medeama preview
In the upcoming match between Samartex and Medeama, the 1X2 probabilities show Samartex at 45%, while Medeama sits at 26%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-0, which occurs 10% of the time. Samartex's expected goals are 1.48 compared to Medeama's 1.07, indicating a slight edge for the home side.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction. Both teams to score stands at 52%, suggesting a reasonable chance for both sides to find the net. Samartex's recent form includes 2 draws and 3 wins in their last 5 matches, while Medeama is on a strong run with 4 wins and a draw. This recent performance could influence the outcome in unexpected ways.
Samartex vs Medeama: model vs market
| Source | Samartex | Draw | Medeama |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 28% | 26% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 45% | 28% | 26% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 1.07.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Samartex and Medeama expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.55
- Attack rating (Samartex / Medeama)
- 0.98 / 1.66
- Defence rating (Samartex / Medeama)
- 0.97 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Samartex vs Medeama score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Samartex goals. Columns: Medeama goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Samartex vs Medeama goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Samartex vs Medeama
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Samartex | 45% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 | |
| Medeama | 26% | 3.84 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.13 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.92 |
| No | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Samartex or draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Medeama) | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Handicap -1 | Samartex win by 2+ | 23% | 4.31 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Samartex and Medeama recent form
Samartex
3W 2D 1L
Medeama
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Samartex at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Medeama away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-0
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Samartex at home only, Medeama away only.
Samartex vs Medeama head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Samartex 2 · draws 5 · Medeama 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Samartex | 0-0 | Medeama | Ghana Premier League |
| 2026-02-07 | Medeama | 0-0 | Samartex | Cup |
| 2025-10-18 | Medeama | 1-1 | Samartex | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-03-19 | Samartex | 2-1 | Medeama | Premier League |
| 2024-10-09 | Medeama | 0-0 | Samartex | Premier League |
| 2024-04-07 | Samartex | 1-0 | Medeama | Premier League |
| 2023-10-29 | Medeama | 1-0 | Samartex | Premier League |
| 2023-06-04 | Samartex | 0-0 | Medeama | Premier League |
| 2023-02-05 | Medeama | 2-0 | Samartex | Premier League |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Heart of Lions vs Berekum Chelsea 2026-10-17
- Vision vs Hearts of Oak — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Asante Kotoko v Young Apostles — match page 2026-10-18
- Aduana Stars vs Ashanti Gold — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Debibi United vs Bibiani Gold Stars — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Swedru All Blacks vs Karela 2026-10-18
- Basake Holy Stars v Bechem United — match page 2026-10-18
- Port City vs Dreams 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Samartex, previous: Ashanti Gold vs Samartex prediction
- Medeama, previous: Medeama – Heart of Lions, 2026-10-11