Debibi United vs Bibiani Gold Stars preview
In the Ghana Premier League fixture between Debibi United and Bibiani Gold Stars, the 1X2 probabilities show Debibi United at 48%, while Bibiani Gold Stars sit at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance of occurring. Debibi United’s expected goals stand at 1.63 compared to Bibiani Gold Stars' 1.15, indicating a potential edge for the home side.
However, recent form could influence the outcome. Debibi United has lost three of their last five matches, while Bibiani Gold Stars have won two of their last five. Additionally, there is a 53% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance for both teams to score, suggesting that attacking play could be a factor in this match.
Debibi United vs Bibiani Gold Stars: model vs market
| Source | Debibi United | Draw | Bibiani Gold Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 27% | 26% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 48% | 27% | 26% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.15.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Debibi United and Bibiani Gold Stars expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.78
- Attack rating (Debibi United / Bibiani Gold Stars)
- 0.93 / 1.34
- Defence rating (Debibi United / Bibiani Gold Stars)
- 1.29 / 1.26
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Debibi United vs Bibiani Gold Stars score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Debibi United goals. Columns: Bibiani Gold Stars goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Debibi United vs Bibiani Gold Stars goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Debibi United vs Bibiani Gold Stars
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Debibi United | 48% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.72 | |
| Bibiani Gold Stars | 26% | 3.91 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| No | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Debibi United or draw) | 74% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Bibiani Gold Stars) | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Handicap -1 | Debibi United win by 2+ | 26% | 3.90 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Debibi United and Bibiani Gold Stars recent form
Debibi United
1W 1D 4L
Bibiani Gold Stars
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Debibi United at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Bibiani Gold Stars away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Debibi United at home only, Bibiani Gold Stars away only.
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Before and after this match
- Debibi United, previous: Berekum Chelsea v Debibi United analysis
- Bibiani Gold Stars, previous: Bibiani Gold Stars v Basake Holy Stars analysis