Basake Holy Stars vs Bechem United preview
In the upcoming match between Basake Holy Stars and Bechem United, the 1X2 probabilities show Basake Holy Stars at 42%, while both a draw and Bechem United sit at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 10% chance according to our model.
Basake Holy Stars have an expected goals figure of 1.39 compared to Bechem United's 1.13. While both teams to score sits at 52% and Over 2.5 goals is at 46%, the recent form indicates Basake Holy Stars' inconsistency with three wins in their last six matches, which could impact the outcome.
Basake Holy Stars vs Bechem United: model vs market
| Source | Basake Holy Stars | Draw | Bechem United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 29% | 29% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 42% | 29% | 29% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Basake Holy Stars and Bechem United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.51
- Attack rating (Basake Holy Stars / Bechem United)
- 0.74 / 1.42
- Defence rating (Basake Holy Stars / Bechem United)
- 1.20 / 1.34
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Basake Holy Stars vs Bechem United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Basake Holy Stars goals. Columns: Bechem United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Basake Holy Stars vs Bechem United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Basake Holy Stars vs Bechem United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Basake Holy Stars | 42% | 2.41 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.43 | |
| Bechem United | 29% | 3.41 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.17 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.92 |
| No | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Basake Holy Stars or draw) | 71% | 1.41 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Bechem United) | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Handicap -1 | Basake Holy Stars win by 2+ | 20% | 4.95 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Basake Holy Stars and Bechem United recent form
Basake Holy Stars
3W 0D 3L
Bechem United
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Basake Holy Stars at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Bechem United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Basake Holy Stars at home only, Bechem United away only.
Basake Holy Stars vs Bechem United head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Basake Holy Stars 2 · draws 2 · Bechem United 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Basake Holy Stars | 2-1 | Bechem United | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-09-21 | Bechem United | 0-0 | Basake Holy Stars | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-05-25 | Bechem United | 0-0 | Basake Holy Stars | Premier League |
| 2024-12-26 | Basake Holy Stars | 3-0 | Bechem United | Premier League |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Heart of Lions vs Berekum Chelsea 2026-10-17
- Vision vs Hearts of Oak — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Asante Kotoko v Young Apostles — match page 2026-10-18
- Aduana Stars vs Ashanti Gold — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Samartex v Medeama — match page 2026-10-18
- Debibi United vs Bibiani Gold Stars — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Swedru All Blacks vs Karela 2026-10-18
- Port City vs Dreams 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Basake Holy Stars, previous: Bibiani Gold Stars v Basake Holy Stars analysis
- Basake Holy Stars, next: Hearts of Oak – Basake Holy Stars, 2026-10-23
- Bechem United, previous: Bechem United – Vision, 2026-10-11