Port City vs Dreams preview
In the Ghana Premier League fixture between Port City and Dreams, the 1X2 probabilities show Port City at 61% to win, while Dreams sit at 14%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13% chance according to our model. Port City has an expected goals figure of 1.81, compared to Dreams' 0.76, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
However, the recent form of both teams could influence the outcome. Port City has recorded two wins in their last five matches, while Dreams have struggled with six consecutive games without a win. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals stand at 47% and both teams to score at 46%, suggesting that while Port City is favored, unexpected results are possible.
Port City vs Dreams: model vs market
| Source | Port City | Draw | Dreams |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61% | 25% | 14% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 61% | 25% | 14% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Port City and Dreams expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.57
- Attack rating (Port City / Dreams)
- 1.14 / 1.28
- Defence rating (Port City / Dreams)
- 0.90 / 1.14
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Port City vs Dreams score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Port City goals. Columns: Dreams goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Port City vs Dreams goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Port City vs Dreams
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Port City | 61% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.07 | |
| Dreams | 14% | 7.01 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.11 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.19 |
| No | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Port City or draw) | 86% | 1.17 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Dreams) | 39% | 2.58 | |
| Handicap -1 | Port City win by 2+ | 36% | 2.75 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Port City and Dreams recent form
Port City
3W 1D 2L
Dreams
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Port City at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Dreams away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Port City at home only, Dreams away only.
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Before and after this match
- Port City, previous: Hearts of Oak vs Port City: odds and pick
- Port City, next: Karela v Port City analysis
- Dreams, previous: Karela vs Dreams prediction