Swedru All Blacks vs Karela preview
In the upcoming fixture between Swedru All Blacks and Karela, the 1X2 probabilities show a strong lean towards Swedru All Blacks at 59%, while Karela stands at just 12%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, which occurs with a 19% probability. However, the match could deviate from this forecast if Karela manages to improve their recent form, which includes 3 losses in their last 6 matches.
The model suggests a 32% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance for both teams to score. Swedru All Blacks have an expected goals figure of 1.46, compared to Karela's 0.53. This disparity indicates that Swedru All Blacks may dominate the scoring chances, but any defensive lapses could lead to a different outcome.
Swedru All Blacks vs Karela: model vs market
| Source | Swedru All Blacks | Draw | Karela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 29% | 12% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 59% | 29% | 12% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.53.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Swedru All Blacks and Karela expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.99
- Attack rating (Swedru All Blacks / Karela)
- 1.03 / 0.93
- Defence rating (Swedru All Blacks / Karela)
- 0.85 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Swedru All Blacks vs Karela score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Swedru All Blacks goals. Columns: Karela goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Swedru All Blacks vs Karela goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 33%
- No goals (0–0)
- 15%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Swedru All Blacks vs Karela
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Swedru All Blacks | 59% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 | |
| Karela | 12% | 8.16 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32% | 3.13 |
| Under 2.5 | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33% | 3.08 |
| No | 67% | 1.48 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Swedru All Blacks or draw) | 88% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Karela) | 41% | 2.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | Swedru All Blacks win by 2+ | 31% | 3.18 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Swedru All Blacks and Karela recent form
Swedru All Blacks
2W 2D 2L
Karela
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Swedru All Blacks at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Karela away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Swedru All Blacks at home only, Karela away only.
Swedru All Blacks vs Karela head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Swedru All Blacks 0 · draws 1 · Karela 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Karela | 1-0 | Swedru All Blacks | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-12-28 | Swedru All Blacks | 1-1 | Karela | Ghana Premier League |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
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- Asante Kotoko v Young Apostles — match page 2026-10-18
- Aduana Stars vs Ashanti Gold — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Samartex v Medeama — match page 2026-10-18
- Debibi United vs Bibiani Gold Stars — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Basake Holy Stars v Bechem United — match page 2026-10-18
- Port City vs Dreams 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Swedru All Blacks, previous: Swedru All Blacks vs Asante Kotoko: odds and pick
- Karela, previous: Karela vs Dreams prediction
- Karela, next: Karela v Port City analysis