Cremonese vs Juve Stabia preview
In the Serie B match between Cremonese and Juve Stabia, the 1X2 probabilities show Cremonese at 51%, a draw at 27%, and Juve Stabia at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has a 15% chance according to our model.
Cremonese has an expected goals figure of 1.36, while Juve Stabia sits at 0.77. The potential for Over 2.5 goals is 36%, and both teams to score stands at 41%. However, recent form shows Cremonese with three draws and two wins in their last five matches, while Juve Stabia has three draws and two losses. This could impact the match outcome and the expected scoring trends.
Cremonese vs Juve Stabia: model vs market
| Source | Cremonese | Draw | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 30% | 20% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 22% |
| Published | 51% | 27% | 22% |
| Edge | -2% | +4% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.83, recorded — the top price across the 3 books we record, each at its own last update.
Cremonese and Juve Stabia expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.13
- Attack rating (Cremonese / Juve Stabia)
- 0.86 / 0.81
- Defence rating (Cremonese / Juve Stabia)
- 0.86 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Cremonese vs Juve Stabia score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Cremonese goals. Columns: Juve Stabia goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Cremonese vs Juve Stabia goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 41%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Cremonese vs Juve Stabia
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cremonese | 51% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 | |
| Juve Stabia | 22% | 4.59 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.79 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41% | 2.43 |
| No | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Cremonese or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Juve Stabia) | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cremonese win by 2+ | 25% | 4.08 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Cremonese and Juve Stabia recent form
Cremonese
2W 3D 1L
Juve Stabia
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Cremonese at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Juve Stabia away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Cremonese at home only, Juve Stabia away only.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus 2026-10-23
- Virtus Entella vs Mantova 2026-10-24
- Avellino v Padova — match page 2026-10-24
- Modena vs Cesena 2026-10-24
- Sudtirol v Sampdoria — match page 2026-10-24
- Catanzaro vs Ascoli — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Cremonese, previous: Pisa v Cremonese analysis
- Juve Stabia, previous: Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol: odds and pick