Virtus Entella vs Mantova preview
In the match between Virtus Entella and Mantova, the 1X2 probabilities show Virtus Entella at 41%, while Mantova sits at 31%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Virtus Entella recording a W-D-D-W-D-L streak and Mantova a W-D-W-D-L-W streak.
The model indicates a strong possibility for Over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 63%. However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting that unexpected outcomes could occur, particularly given the close head-to-head record, with each team winning once in their last two encounters.
Virtus Entella vs Mantova: model vs market
| Source | Virtus Entella | Draw | Mantova |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 25% | 28% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 32% |
| Published | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Edge | +7% | -3% | -4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 1.36.
- The market prices Virtus Entella below the model: +6.8 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.38, recorded — the top price across the 3 books we record, each at its own last update.
Virtus Entella and Mantova expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.13
- Attack rating (Virtus Entella / Mantova)
- 1.07 / 1.39
- Defence rating (Virtus Entella / Mantova)
- 0.89 / 1.13
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Virtus Entella vs Mantova score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Virtus Entella goals. Columns: Mantova goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Virtus Entella vs Mantova goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Virtus Entella vs Mantova
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Virtus Entella | 41% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.63 | |
| Mantova | 31% | 3.20 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.53 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.60 |
| No | 37% | 2.68 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Virtus Entella or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Mantova) | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Handicap -1 | Virtus Entella win by 2+ | 26% | 3.89 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Virtus Entella and Mantova recent form
Virtus Entella
2W 3D 1L
Mantova
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Virtus Entella at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
Mantova away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Virtus Entella at home only, Mantova away only.
Virtus Entella vs Mantova head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Virtus Entella 1 · draws 0 · Mantova 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Mantova | 1-0 | Virtus Entella | Italy Serie B |
| 2025-09-14 | Virtus Entella | 1-0 | Mantova | Italy Serie B |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus 2026-10-23
- Cremonese v Juve Stabia — match page 2026-10-24
- Avellino v Padova — match page 2026-10-24
- Modena vs Cesena 2026-10-24
- Sudtirol v Sampdoria — match page 2026-10-24
- Catanzaro vs Ascoli — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Virtus Entella, previous: Padova vs Virtus Entella prediction
- Mantova, previous: Mantova v Palermo analysis