Updated

Italy Serie B · Matchday 9

Juve Stabia vs Verona

· Stadio Romeo Menti, Castellammare di Stabia

Alin prediction Verona to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

7% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Juve StabiaDrawVerona
  • WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Verona is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Juve Stabia2.90 Draw3.35 Verona2.43

Price as of

Expected return at 2.43: -11.8% per unit staked

Juve Stabia vs Verona preview

In the Serie B match between Juve Stabia and Verona, the 1X2 probabilities show Juve Stabia at 35%, a draw at 28%, and Verona at 37%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 7% chance. Juve Stabia's expected goals are 1.63, while Verona's are 1.33, indicating a competitive match.

There is a 57% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 60% likelihood for both teams to score. Juve Stabia's recent form includes one win in their last five matches, while Verona has two wins in their last five. These trends could influence the outcome, making the predictions less certain.

Juve Stabia vs Verona: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceJuve StabiaDrawVerona
Model45%27%28%
Market33%28%39%
Published36%28%36%
Edge+3%0%-3%
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.43, recorded — the top price across the 2 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Juve Stabia vs Verona odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Verona, 5 snapshots since 2026-10-23.

Opened 2.39Now 2.41 +0.02
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Juve Stabia2.872.88+0.01
Draw3.253.30+0.05
Verona2.392.41+0.02

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Juve Stabia and Verona expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.60Juve Stabia
1.23Verona
Total expected goals
2.82
Attack rating (Juve Stabia / Verona)
0.93 / 1.21
Defence rating (Juve Stabia / Verona)
0.91 / 1.17

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Juve Stabia vs Verona score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.1% 6.1% 4.5% 1.8% 0.7% 1 8.3% 12.8% 7.1% 2.9% 1.2% 2 7.6% 9.3% 5.7% 2.3% 0.9% 3 4.0% 4.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.5% 4+ 2.3% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%

Rows: Juve Stabia goals. Columns: Verona goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Juve Stabia vs Verona goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 54%
Over 3.5 31%
Both teams to score
57%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Juve Stabia vs Verona

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Juve Stabia36%2.81
Draw28%3.56
Verona36%2.76
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554%1.87
Under 2.546%2.15
Both teams to scoreYes57%1.74
No43%2.35
Double chance1X (Juve Stabia or draw)64%1.57
12 (either side)72%1.39
X2 (draw or Verona)64%1.55
Handicap -1Verona win by 2+12%8.22
Push (exactly one goal)16%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Juve Stabia and Verona recent form

Juve Stabia 2W 3D 1L
Verona 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Juve Stabia at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
1.33
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Verona away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
2.33
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.

League matches this season before kick-off: Juve Stabia at home only, Verona away only.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Verona to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Verona