Verona vs Carrarese Prediction & Betting Tips 01/11/2026

Verona vs Carrarese preview

In the fixture between Verona and Carrarese, the 1X2 probabilities show Verona at 59% to win, while Carrarese stands at 17%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 11%. Verona's expected goals are 1.68, compared to Carrarese's 0.98, indicating a stronger attacking performance.

However, the recent form could impact the outcome. Verona has drawn twice and won twice in their last six matches, while Carrarese has struggled with only 2 wins in their last 6 games. Additionally, both teams to score has a probability of 52%, suggesting that while Verona may dominate, Carrarese could still find the net. The confidence grade is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the prediction.

Verona vs Carrarese: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Verona	Draw	Carrarese
Model	53%	26%	21%
Market	62%	23%	16%
Published	59%	24%	17%
Edge	-2%	+1%	+1%

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.98.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.51, recorded 2026-10-26 — the top price across the 1 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Verona vs Carrarese odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Verona, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.

Opened 1.51Now 1.51 +0.00

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Verona	1.51	1.51	+0.00
Draw	4.10	4.10	+0.00
Carrarese	5.86	5.86	+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Verona and Carrarese expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.68Verona

0.98Carrarese

Total expected goals: 2.66
Attack rating (Verona / Carrarese): 1.19 / 0.77
Defence rating (Verona / Carrarese): 1.14 / 0.97

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Verona vs Carrarese score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.1% 5.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 1 10.6% 12.7% 5.6% 1.8% 0.6% 2 9.9% 9.7% 4.7% 1.5% 0.5% 3 5.6% 5.4% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3% 4+ 3.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2%

Rows: Verona goals. Columns: Carrarese goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Verona vs Carrarese goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%

Over 1.5 76%

Over 2.5 50%

Over 3.5 28%

Both teams to score: 52%
No goals (0–0): 8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Verona vs Carrarese

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Verona	59%	1.69
	Draw	24%	4.24
	Carrarese	17%	5.86
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	50%	2.01
	Under 2.5	50%	1.99
Both teams to score	Yes	52%	1.93
	No	48%	2.08
Double chance	1X (Verona or draw)	83%	1.21
	12 (either side)	76%	1.31
	X2 (draw or Carrarese)	41%	2.46
Handicap -1	Verona win by 2+	29%	3.40
	Push (exactly one goal)	23%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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