Mantova vs Verona preview
In the fixture between Mantova and Verona, the 1X2 probabilities show Mantova at 37%, draw at 27%, and Verona at 36%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with an 8% chance. Both teams to score sits at 62%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 59%.
Mantova's recent form includes two draws and two losses in their last six matches, while Verona has three wins in their last six. The expected goals are 1.51 for Mantova and 1.55 for Verona, indicating a close contest. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome. If either team underperforms or if the defenses hold strong, the predictions could change significantly.
Mantova vs Verona: model vs market
| Source | Mantova | Draw | Verona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Published | 37% | 27% | 35% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | +1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.55, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Mantova vs Verona odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Mantova, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mantova | 2.50 | 2.49 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 3.38 | 3.38 | +0.00 |
| Verona | 2.67 | 2.73 | +0.06 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Mantova and Verona expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.06
- Attack rating (Mantova / Verona)
- 1.08 / 1.28
- Defence rating (Mantova / Verona)
- 1.09 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Mantova vs Verona score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Mantova goals. Columns: Verona goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Mantova vs Verona goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Mantova vs Verona
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mantova | 37% | 2.68 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 | |
| Verona | 35% | 2.84 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.44 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.60 |
| No | 38% | 2.66 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Mantova or draw) | 65% | 1.54 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Verona) | 63% | 1.60 | |
| Handicap -1 | Mantova win by 2+ | 18% | 5.59 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Mantova and Verona recent form
Mantova
2W 2D 2L
Verona
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Mantova at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Verona away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Mantova at home only, Verona away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Ascoli vs Palermo 2026-11-06
- Cesena v Catanzaro — match page 2026-11-07
- Pisa vs Sudtirol 2026-11-07
- Juve Stabia v Arezzo — match page 2026-11-07
- Padova vs Empoli — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Benevento vs Avellino — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Virtus Entella vs Modena — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Carrarese vs Sampdoria 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Mantova, previous: Modena v Mantova analysis
- Verona, previous: Verona vs Carrarese prediction