Juve Stabia vs Arezzo preview
In the fixture between Juve Stabia and Arezzo, the 1X2 probabilities show Juve Stabia at 56%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 13%. Arezzo's chances stand at 17%, which suggests a clear advantage for the home side. The expected goals indicate Juve Stabia at 1.65 and Arezzo at 0.81, further supporting the prediction of a low-scoring match.
However, the model also shows a 45% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance for both teams to score. This means that while Juve Stabia is favored, unexpected performances from Arezzo could lead to a different outcome. The recent form of both teams, with Juve Stabia having mixed results and Arezzo showing inconsistency, adds to the unpredictability of the match.
Juve Stabia vs Arezzo: model vs market
| Source | Juve Stabia | Draw | Arezzo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 27% | 17% |
| Market | 52% | 27% | 21% |
| Published | 53% | 27% | 20% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.85, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Juve Stabia vs Arezzo odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Juve Stabia, 11 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia | 1.90 | 1.79 | -0.10 |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.52 | +0.07 |
| Arezzo | 3.86 | 4.44 | +0.58 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Juve Stabia and Arezzo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.42
- Attack rating (Juve Stabia / Arezzo)
- 0.94 / 0.73
- Defence rating (Juve Stabia / Arezzo)
- 0.97 / 1.19
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Juve Stabia vs Arezzo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Juve Stabia goals. Columns: Arezzo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Juve Stabia vs Arezzo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Juve Stabia vs Arezzo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juve Stabia | 53% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 | |
| Arezzo | 20% | 4.99 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44% | 2.29 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 1.77 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.22 |
| No | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Juve Stabia or draw) | 80% | 1.25 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Arezzo) | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Handicap -1 | Juve Stabia win by 2+ | 32% | 3.17 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Juve Stabia and Arezzo recent form
Juve Stabia
2W 3D 1L
Arezzo
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Juve Stabia at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Arezzo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Juve Stabia at home only, Arezzo away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Ascoli vs Palermo 2026-11-06
- Cesena v Catanzaro — match page 2026-11-07
- Pisa vs Sudtirol 2026-11-07
- Padova vs Empoli — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Mantova vs Verona — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Benevento vs Avellino — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Virtus Entella vs Modena — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Carrarese vs Sampdoria 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Juve Stabia, previous: Empoli – Juve Stabia, 2026-11-01
- Arezzo, previous: Arezzo – Ascoli, 2026-11-01