Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella preview
In the Serie B match between Sampdoria and Virtus Entella, the 1X2 probabilities show Virtus Entella at 43%, while Sampdoria sits at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 12% chance according to our model. Sampdoria's recent form includes 2 losses and 1 win in their last 5 matches, while Virtus Entella has 2 wins and 1 draw in the same period, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors.
The expected goals for Sampdoria are 0.98, compared to Virtus Entella's 1.32, suggesting a stronger attacking performance from the away side. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals stand at 41%, and both teams to score is at 47%. These figures indicate that while goals could be scored, the match may lean towards a low-scoring outcome.
Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella: model vs market
| Source | Sampdoria | Draw | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 30% | 43% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 26% | 30% | 43% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Sampdoria and Virtus Entella expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.31
- Attack rating (Sampdoria / Virtus Entella)
- 0.75 / 0.94
- Defence rating (Sampdoria / Virtus Entella)
- 1.26 / 0.90
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sampdoria goals. Columns: Virtus Entella goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sampdoria | 26% | 3.78 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.29 | |
| Virtus Entella | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.46 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.68 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| No | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sampdoria or draw) | 57% | 1.76 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or Virtus Entella) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| Handicap -1 | Virtus Entella win by 2+ | 21% | 4.85 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Sampdoria and Virtus Entella recent form
Sampdoria
1W 1D 4L
Virtus Entella
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sampdoria at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Virtus Entella away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 60% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sampdoria at home only, Virtus Entella away only.
Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Sampdoria 0 · draws 1 · Virtus Entella 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | Sampdoria | 1-1 | Virtus Entella | Italy Serie B |
| 2025-10-17 | Virtus Entella | 3-1 | Sampdoria | Italy Serie B |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Cremonese v Benevento — match page 2026-10-31
- Modena vs Mantova — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Sudtirol vs Cesena 2026-10-31
- Catanzaro v Padova — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Sampdoria, previous: Ascoli v Sampdoria analysis
- Virtus Entella, previous: Virtus Entella vs Avellino prediction