Vicenza Virtus vs Modena preview
In the fixture between Vicenza Virtus and Modena, the 1X2 probabilities show Vicenza Virtus at 33%, a draw at 26%, and Modena at 42%. The most likely scoreline according to our model is 1-2, which has a 9% chance of occurring.
Both teams have shown some inconsistent form recently, with Vicenza Virtus recording D-L-L-D-D-L and Modena at L-W-W-D-L-W. There is a 60% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 63% likelihood of both teams to score. The expected goals are Vicenza Virtus 1.45 and Modena 1.65, indicating a competitive match but also highlighting the potential for surprises.
Vicenza Virtus vs Modena: model vs market
| Source | Vicenza Virtus | Draw | Modena |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| Market | 29% | 26% | 45% |
| Published | 29% | 26% | 45% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Vicenza Virtus vs Modena odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Modena, 7 snapshots since 2026-10-22.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vicenza Virtus | 2.92 | 3.26 | +0.34 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.58 | +0.18 |
| Modena | 2.28 | 2.06 | -0.22 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Vicenza Virtus and Modena expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.05
- Attack rating (Vicenza Virtus / Modena)
- 1.01 / 1.22
- Defence rating (Vicenza Virtus / Modena)
- 1.22 / 0.94
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vicenza Virtus vs Modena score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vicenza Virtus goals. Columns: Modena goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vicenza Virtus vs Modena goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vicenza Virtus vs Modena
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vicenza Virtus | 29% | 3.42 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.83 | |
| Modena | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.62 |
| No | 38% | 2.62 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vicenza Virtus or draw) | 55% | 1.81 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Modena) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Handicap -1 | Modena win by 2+ | 23% | 4.38 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Vicenza Virtus and Modena recent form
Vicenza Virtus
1W 3D 2L
Modena
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vicenza Virtus at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Modena away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Vicenza Virtus at home only, Modena away only.
Vicenza Virtus vs Modena head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Vicenza Virtus 1 · draws 1 · Modena 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-01-22 | Vicenza Virtus | 1-0 | Modena | Serie C - Girone B |
| 2019-08-25 | Modena | 0-0 | Vicenza Virtus | Serie C - Girone B |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Benevento vs Catanzaro 2026-10-27
- Ascoli v Sampdoria — match page 2026-10-27
- Cesena vs Empoli — team news & stats 2026-10-27
- Virtus Entella vs Avellino 2026-10-27
- Padova vs Sudtirol 2026-10-27
- Mantova vs Cremonese 2026-10-27
- Pisa v Palermo — match page 2026-10-28
- Juve Stabia vs Verona — team news & stats 2026-10-28
Before and after this match
- Vicenza Virtus, previous: Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus prediction
- Modena, previous: Modena v Cesena analysis
- Modena, next: Modena v Mantova analysis