Palermo vs Vicenza Virtus preview
In the upcoming match between Palermo and Vicenza Virtus, the 1X2 probabilities show Palermo at 74%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 (9%). Palermo's expected goals stand at 2.79, while Vicenza Virtus has a much lower expected goals figure of 1.01. This suggests a strong advantage for Palermo.
However, the recent form of Vicenza Virtus, which includes 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 6 matches, could lead to unexpected results. Additionally, while our model predicts 73% for Over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, any defensive improvements from Vicenza Virtus could change the dynamics of the match.
Palermo vs Vicenza Virtus: model vs market
| Source | Palermo | Draw | Vicenza Virtus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.79 vs 1.01.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Palermo and Vicenza Virtus expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.80
- Attack rating (Palermo / Vicenza Virtus)
- 1.57 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Palermo / Vicenza Virtus)
- 0.90 / 1.22
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Palermo vs Vicenza Virtus score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Palermo goals. Columns: Vicenza Virtus goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Palermo vs Vicenza Virtus goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Palermo vs Vicenza Virtus
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Palermo | 74% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.27 | |
| Vicenza Virtus | 10% | 9.63 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 3.72 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.66 |
| No | 40% | 2.52 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Palermo or draw) | 90% | 1.12 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| X2 (draw or Vicenza Virtus) | 26% | 3.80 | |
| Handicap -1 | Palermo win by 2+ | 54% | 1.85 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Palermo and Vicenza Virtus recent form
Palermo
5W 1D 0L
Vicenza Virtus
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Palermo at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 2.0 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Vicenza Virtus away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Palermo at home only, Vicenza Virtus away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Cremonese v Benevento — match page 2026-10-31
- Modena vs Mantova — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Catanzaro v Padova — match page 2026-10-31
- Sampdoria v Virtus Entella — match page 2026-10-31
- Empoli vs Juve Stabia 2026-11-01
- Avellino vs Pisa 2026-11-01
- Arezzo v Ascoli — match page 2026-11-01
- Verona vs Carrarese — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Palermo, previous: Pisa – Palermo, 2026-10-28
- Vicenza Virtus, previous: Vicenza Virtus – Modena, 2026-10-27