Vicenza Virtus vs Cremonese preview
In the Serie B match between Vicenza Virtus and Cremonese, the 1X2 probabilities show Cremonese at 40%, while Vicenza Virtus sits at 31%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, which reflects Cremonese's stronger expected goals of 1.45 compared to Vicenza's 1.10.
Both teams to score stands at 52%, indicating a fair chance of goals from both sides. However, Vicenza's recent form, with 4 losses in their last 6 matches, could hinder their performance. If they can improve their attacking play, the match could deviate from the predicted outcome.
Vicenza Virtus vs Cremonese: model vs market
| Source | Vicenza Virtus | Draw | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27% | 29% | 44% |
| Market | 32% | 29% | 39% |
| Published | 31% | 29% | 40% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 1.10.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.46, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Vicenza Virtus vs Cremonese odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Cremonese, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vicenza Virtus | 2.87 | 2.91 | +0.04 |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.22 | -0.03 |
| Cremonese | 2.41 | 2.42 | +0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Vicenza Virtus and Cremonese expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.55
- Attack rating (Vicenza Virtus / Cremonese)
- 0.97 / 0.97
- Defence rating (Vicenza Virtus / Cremonese)
- 1.35 / 0.78
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vicenza Virtus vs Cremonese score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vicenza Virtus goals. Columns: Cremonese goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vicenza Virtus vs Cremonese goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vicenza Virtus vs Cremonese
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vicenza Virtus | 31% | 3.22 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.45 | |
| Cremonese | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.14 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.91 |
| No | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vicenza Virtus or draw) | 60% | 1.67 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Cremonese) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cremonese win by 2+ | 22% | 4.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Vicenza Virtus and Cremonese recent form
Vicenza Virtus
1W 1D 4L
Cremonese
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vicenza Virtus at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cremonese away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Vicenza Virtus at home only, Cremonese away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Cesena v Catanzaro — match page 2026-11-07
- Pisa vs Sudtirol 2026-11-07
- Juve Stabia v Arezzo — match page 2026-11-07
- Padova vs Empoli — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Mantova vs Verona — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Benevento vs Avellino — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Virtus Entella vs Modena — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Carrarese vs Sampdoria 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Vicenza Virtus, previous: Palermo vs Vicenza Virtus: odds and pick
- Cremonese, previous: Cremonese v Benevento analysis