Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa preview
Mito Hollyhock faces Urawa with 31% win probability for Mito and 44% for Urawa. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which occurs 9% of the time in our model. Both teams to score stands at 62%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 60%.
Mito Hollyhock's recent form shows 2 losses, 2 draws, and 1 win, while Urawa has 4 wins and 2 losses in their last 6 matches. Mito's expected goals are 1.39 compared to Urawa's 1.70. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions. This could change if Mito improves its form or if Urawa underperforms.
Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa: model vs market
| Source | Mito Hollyhock | Draw | Urawa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 26% | 44% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 31% | 26% | 44% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.39.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Mito Hollyhock and Urawa expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.09
- Attack rating (Mito Hollyhock / Urawa)
- 0.76 / 1.18
- Defence rating (Mito Hollyhock / Urawa)
- 1.11 / 1.26
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Mito Hollyhock goals. Columns: Urawa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mito Hollyhock | 31% | 3.27 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 | |
| Urawa | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.48 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.60 |
| No | 38% | 2.67 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Mito Hollyhock or draw) | 56% | 1.78 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Urawa) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| Handicap -1 | Urawa win by 2+ | 24% | 4.25 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Mito Hollyhock and Urawa recent form
Mito Hollyhock
1W 2D 3L
Urawa
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Mito Hollyhock at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Urawa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Mito Hollyhock at home only, Urawa away only.
Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Mito Hollyhock 0 · draws 0 · Urawa 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Mito Hollyhock | 1-4 | Urawa | J1 League |
| 2026-03-07 | Urawa | 2-0 | Mito Hollyhock | J1 League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Shimizu S-pulse v Gamba Osaka — match page 2026-10-17
- JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos 2026-10-17
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga 2026-10-17
- Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Kashima v V-varen Nagasaki — match page 2026-10-17
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus — team news & stats 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Mito Hollyhock, previous: Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse prediction
- Urawa, previous: FC Tokyo vs Urawa: odds and pick