Altay vs Yelimay Semey preview
In the fixture between Altay and Yelimay Semey, the 1X2 probabilities show Altay at 41%, Yelimay Semey at 33%, and a draw at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. The model suggests a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 63%.
Altay's recent form includes 2 wins and 4 losses, while Yelimay Semey has 3 wins and 3 losses. The expected goals are 1.65 for Altay and 1.48 for Yelimay Semey. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating that unexpected results could occur, making the outcome less certain.
Altay vs Yelimay Semey: model vs market
| Source | Altay | Draw | Yelimay Semey |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 26% | 33% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 41% | 26% | 33% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Altay and Yelimay Semey expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.13
- Attack rating (Altay / Yelimay Semey)
- 1.02 / 1.05
- Defence rating (Altay / Yelimay Semey)
- 1.24 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Altay vs Yelimay Semey score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Altay goals. Columns: Yelimay Semey goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Altay vs Yelimay Semey goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Altay vs Yelimay Semey
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Altay | 41% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 | |
| Yelimay Semey | 33% | 2.99 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.53 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.58 |
| No | 37% | 2.73 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Altay or draw) | 67% | 1.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Yelimay Semey) | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Handicap -1 | Altay win by 2+ | 21% | 4.68 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Altay and Yelimay Semey recent form
Altay
2W 1D 3L
Yelimay Semey
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Altay at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-7-5
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.21
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
Yelimay Semey away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-3
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.36
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Altay at home only, Yelimay Semey away only.
Altay vs Yelimay Semey head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Altay 0 · draws 1 · Yelimay Semey 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Yelimay Semey | 1-1 | Altay | Kazakhstan Premier League |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Okzhetpes v Kaspiy — match page 2026-10-24
- Zhetysu v FK Tobol Kostanay — match page 2026-10-24
- Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau 2026-10-24
- Ordabasy v Zhenys — match page 2026-10-24
- Atyrau vs Irtysh 2026-10-25
- Aktobe vs Kairat Almaty — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- FC Astana vs Kaisar 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Altay, previous: Altay vs Atyrau prediction
- Yelimay Semey, previous: Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau prediction