Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau preview
In the upcoming match between Kyzyl-Zhar and Ulytau, the 1X2 probabilities show Kyzyl-Zhar at 39%, Ulytau at 31%, and a draw at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has a 10% chance of occurring. Kyzyl-Zhar has an expected goals figure of 1.31, while Ulytau is slightly lower at 1.15.
While both teams to score stands at 51%, the recent form indicates Kyzyl-Zhar has struggled with 1 win in their last 6 matches, while Ulytau has 2 wins in their last 6. This could lead to a lower-scoring game than expected, potentially affecting the Over 2.5 goals probability of 45%. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the outcome.
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau: model vs market
| Source | Kyzyl-Zhar | Draw | Ulytau |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 29% | 29% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 41% | 29% | 29% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Kyzyl-Zhar and Ulytau expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.48
- Attack rating (Kyzyl-Zhar / Ulytau)
- 0.81 / 0.89
- Defence rating (Kyzyl-Zhar / Ulytau)
- 1.09 / 1.14
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kyzyl-Zhar goals. Columns: Ulytau goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 41% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 | |
| Ulytau | 29% | 3.42 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.22 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.95 |
| No | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kyzyl-Zhar or draw) | 71% | 1.41 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Ulytau) | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kyzyl-Zhar win by 2+ | 20% | 5.02 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kyzyl-Zhar and Ulytau recent form
Kyzyl-Zhar
1W 1D 4L
Ulytau
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kyzyl-Zhar at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-6
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 14
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Ulytau away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-6-7
- Win rate
- 7%
- Goals for / match
- 0.79
- Goals against / match
- 1.57
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kyzyl-Zhar at home only, Ulytau away only.
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Kyzyl-Zhar 1 · draws 1 · Ulytau 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Ulytau | 1-0 | Kyzyl-Zhar | Kazakhstan Premier League |
| 2025-08-09 | Ulytau | 1-1 | Kyzyl-Zhar | Kazakhstan Premier League |
| 2025-05-10 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 2-1 | Ulytau | Kazakhstan Premier League |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Okzhetpes v Kaspiy — match page 2026-10-24
- Zhetysu v FK Tobol Kostanay — match page 2026-10-24
- Ordabasy v Zhenys — match page 2026-10-24
- Altay vs Yelimay Semey — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Atyrau vs Irtysh 2026-10-25
- Aktobe vs Kairat Almaty — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- FC Astana vs Kaisar 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Kyzyl-Zhar, previous: Okzhetpes v Kyzyl-Zhar analysis
- Ulytau, previous: Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau prediction