Atyrau vs Irtysh preview
Atyrau faces Irtysh with a 47% chance of winning compared to Irtysh's 23%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 12% of the time in our model. Atyrau has an expected goals figure of 1.43, while Irtysh sits at 0.93.
The possibility of Over 2.5 goals stands at 42%, and both teams to score is at 47%. Atyrau's recent form shows a mixed bag with 2 wins and 3 losses, while Irtysh has 2 wins and 4 losses in their last 6 matches. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a level of uncertainty in the predictions.
Atyrau vs Irtysh: model vs market
| Source | Atyrau | Draw | Irtysh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 29% | 23% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 47% | 29% | 23% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.93.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Atyrau and Irtysh expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.36
- Attack rating (Atyrau / Irtysh)
- 0.76 / 0.71
- Defence rating (Atyrau / Irtysh)
- 1.14 / 1.27
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Atyrau vs Irtysh score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Atyrau goals. Columns: Irtysh goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Atyrau vs Irtysh goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Atyrau vs Irtysh
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atyrau | 47% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 | |
| Irtysh | 23% | 4.30 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.39 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| No | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Atyrau or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Irtysh) | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Handicap -1 | Atyrau win by 2+ | 24% | 4.18 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Atyrau and Irtysh recent form
Atyrau
2W 1D 3L
Irtysh
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Atyrau at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-5-7
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.79
- Goals against / match
- 1.36
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Irtysh away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-5-7
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.86
- Goals against / match
- 1.64
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 27 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Atyrau at home only, Irtysh away only.
Atyrau vs Irtysh head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Atyrau 0 · draws 1 · Irtysh 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Irtysh | 1-1 | Atyrau | Kazakhstan Premier League |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Okzhetpes v Kaspiy — match page 2026-10-24
- Zhetysu v FK Tobol Kostanay — match page 2026-10-24
- Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau 2026-10-24
- Ordabasy v Zhenys — match page 2026-10-24
- Altay vs Yelimay Semey — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Aktobe vs Kairat Almaty — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- FC Astana vs Kaisar 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Atyrau, previous: Altay vs Atyrau prediction
- Irtysh, previous: Kairat Almaty vs Irtysh: odds and pick